meed-logo

line1 line2 line3
SIGN IN / REGISTER

Adnoc set to become a chemicals major

1 September 2025

This package also includes:
> Regional chemicals spending set to soar 

 

At a time when global chemicals giants like Saudi Basic Industries Corporation (Sabic) and Dow Chemical are facing financial pressure due to rising feedstock costs and decreasing sales margins, Abu Dhabi National Oil Company (Adnoc) – a relatively small player in the space – is undertaking an ambitious inorganic growth strategy.

In the past 12 months, the company has initiated merger and acquisition transactions that could propel it towards becoming a major global chemicals producer.

The Abu Dhabi energy giant took the first step in that direction by announcing the acquisition of German chemicals producer Covestro in October 2024, making a takeover offer of €14.7bn ($16.3bn). Covestro’s expertise lies in areas such as chemical recycling, which are key for the future of the energy industry and a target area for Adnoc.

The agreement between XRG – Adnoc’s international business subsidiary – and Covestro, which will run until the end of 2028, includes several obligations on the part of Adnoc, including maintaining Covestro’s existing business activities, corporate governance and organisational business structure.

Regulatory approvals

Adnoc’s takeover deal for Covestro has received approvals from regulators in India and South Africa. However, it is still under scrutiny in the EU, with the European Commission having launched an in-depth investigation into the pending deal under its Foreign Subsidies Regulation, which targets non-EU firms perceived to benefit from unfair state subsidy.

[Adnoc] has initiated merger and acquisition transactions that could propel it towards becoming a major global chemicals producer

In early August, the European Commission said it had 90 working days – until 2 December – to make a decision. Adnoc, meanwhile, has contested the investigation into its takeover bid for Covestro, saying that the transaction will add value for all stakeholders.

Covestro’s supervisory and management boards have supported the takeover offer from Adnoc, and in April the firm said it remains hopeful that the transaction will close in the second half of 2025.

Potential merger

Adnoc announced a bigger transaction than the Covestro acquisition deal in March, with Austrian energy company OMV. The two companies agreed the terms of a binding framework agreement for a proposed combination of their shareholdings in Abu Dhabi’s Borouge and Austria-based chemicals producer Borealis.

Simultaneously, Adnoc also entered into a share purchase agreement with Canada-based Nova Chemicals Holdings – a company indirectly wholly owned by Abu Dhabi’s sovereign wealth institution, Mubadala Investment Company – for 100% of Nova Chemicals Corporation.

Adnoc and OMV have also agreed that on completion of the planned merger of Borouge and Borealis, the new entity – which will be known as Borouge Group International – will acquire Nova Chemicals Corporation for $13.4bn including debt, further expanding its footprint in North America.

Borouge Group International will be listed on the Abu Dhabi Securities Exchange (ADX), subject to approval by the UAE Securities & Commodities Authority (SCA) and ADX.

Under the terms of the agreement, Adnoc and OMV will hold equal stakes of 46.94% in Borouge Group International, with joint control and equal partnership. The remaining 6.12% will be in free float, subject to SCA approval and assuming all existing Borouge free float shareholders agree to exchange their existing shares in Borouge for shares in Borouge Group International.

Adnoc and OMV will hold equal stakes of 46.94% in Borouge Group International, with joint control and equal partnership

Upon completion of the deal, Adnoc will transfer its stake in Borouge Group International to XRG, which is also on course to take control of its parent company’s 24.9% stake in OMV.

The purchase price is about 7.5 times the company’s expected long-term profits before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortisation (Ebitda), and is expected to be debt financed through capital markets. 

Borouge Group International plans to raise up to $4bn of primary capital in 2026 to qualify for inclusion on global stock index MSCI and secure an investment-grade credit rating, targeting through-the-cycle net leverage of up to 2.5 times Ebitda.

The proposed deal assumes a primary cash injection of €1.6bn ($1.67bn) by OMV into Borouge Group International. This will be reduced on closing in line with the equity value of Borouge and Borealis after expected dividend payments up to completion.

The upcoming Borouge 4 project – which is the fourth expansion phase of Borouge’s petrochemicals complex in Ruwais, Abu Dhabi – is likely to be among the key growth drivers, with projected recontribution by the end of 2026, when the estimated $6.2bn project is expected to be commissioned.

Recontribution of Borouge 4, when fully operational, is expected to be at a cost of approximately $7.5bn including debt, and accretive to operating cash flows and dividends per share, with an estimated through-the-cycle Ebitda of approximately $900m.

If Adnoc’s potential takeover of Covestro were to be blocked by the European Commission, the acquisition of Nova, together with the recontribution of the Borouge 4 petrochemicals project, will still create a major polyolefins producer in the form of Borouge Group International, which could be valued at more than $60bn and would be the world’s fourth-largest by nameplate production capacity. 

https://image.digitalinsightresearch.in/uploads/NewsArticle/14579349/main.jpg
Indrajit Sen

Register for MEED's guest program now to access this article.

Click here to register
Exclusive from Meed
Related Articles
  • Chinese firm wins Emaar Address Zabeel contract

    17 October 2025

    Beijing-headquartered China State Construction Engineering Corporation has been awarded a contract by UAE-based developer Emaar Properties to build a multi-tower complex in Dubai’s Zabeel area called Address Residences Zabeel.

    The development will comprise four towers offering more than 1,700 one- to four-bedroom residential units, 2,600 square metres of retail space and parking for 2,000 cars. The towers will be 50, 58, 52 and 54 storeys high.

    The project is expected to be completed in 2027.

    The latest contract award from Emaar follows the start of construction activity at the Dubai Square mall, which will be connected to the upcoming Dubai Creek Harbour tower within Emaar's Dubai Creek Harbour development.

    MEED recently reported that Dubai-based contractor Dutco Construction had started mobilising for the main works on the project.

    Dubai’s heightened real estate activity has led to record-breaking announcements from several UAE-based real estate firms. 

    In February this year, Emaar reported a total revenue of AED19.1bn ($5.2bn) in 2024, a 61% increase from 2023. It said it recorded a net profit before tax of about AED10.2bn ($2.8bn), a 20% rise compared to 2023.

    According to data published earlier this year by the Emirates News Agency (Wam), the total value of real estate transactions in the UAE reached AED893bn, with more than 331,300 transactions recorded last year.

    UK analytics firm GlobalData forecasts that the UAE construction industry will register an annual growth of 3.9% in 2025-27, supported by investments in infrastructure, renewable energy, oil and gas, housing, industrial and tourism projects.

    READ THE OCTOBER 2025 MEED BUSINESS REVIEW – click here to view PDF

    Private sector takes on expanded role; Riyadh shifts towards strategic expenditure; MEED’s 2025 power developer ranking

    Distributed to senior decision-makers in the region and around the world, the October 2025 edition of MEED Business Review includes:

    > AGENDA 1: A new dawn for PPPs
    To see previous issues of MEED Business Review, please click here
    https://image.digitalinsightresearch.in/uploads/NewsArticle/14892821/main.jpg
    Yasir Iqbal
  • Chinese company to build tyre plant in Morocco

    17 October 2025

    Chinese tyre manufacturer Shandong Yongsheng Rubber has launched a $675m project to build a tyre factory in Morocco.

    The plant will initially produce 6 million semi-steel radial tyres annually, with plans to gradually increase capacity to 12 million units per year, according to a company statement.

    The tyres manufactured will be primarily destined for export to European, African and American markets.

    Shandong Yongsheng Rubber also plans to capitalise on preferential tariffs offered through Morocco’s free trade agreements with numerous jurisdictions, including the European Union, the US and several West African countries, the company said.

    The factory, to be developed in Morocco’s Diouch province, will produce tyres that meet technical standards for developed markets.

    Preliminary administrative procedures, including regulatory registration, have already been completed for the project.

    Increased investment

    Chinese companies in the automotive sector have increased investments in Morocco and neighbouring Algeria in recent years.

    In August, Chinese automotive interior materials manufacturer Kuntai announced plans to establish a production facility in Morocco through its subsidiary Kuntai Hongjing.

    The project represents a total investment of RMB100m ($13.7m) and will focus on manufacturing car floor mats and carpets for vehicles.

    In March, Great Wall Motor, one of China’s top 10 car manufacturers, announced plans to build its first factory in Algeria, joining other companies in the country, including Fiat, Peugeot and Kia.

    Last November, the Algerian Ministry of Industry & Pharmaceutical Production announced that it had granted permits for six new vehicle manufacturing factories in the country.

    In March 2023, Dutch carmaker Stellantis announced plans to spend more than €200m ($213m) to manufacture several Fiat models in Algeria.

    https://image.digitalinsightresearch.in/uploads/NewsArticle/14889877/main.jpg
    Wil Crisp
  • Two cement plants to be built in Egypt

    17 October 2025

    Egypt is planning to issue two new cement plant licences before the end of the year, with the aim of cubing rising prices in the country.

    The two new licences were approved during a recent meeting between local cement producers and Kamel El-Wazir, Egypt’s minister of trade and industry, according to a news report by Asharq Business, which cited an anonymous official.

    “The two permits are expected to be released before the end of the year, with each licence including its own production line,” the official said.

    The two new plants are expected to add 1.5-2 million tonnes a year of production to Egypt’s cement output.

    The cement project approvals from Egypt’s government come amid heightened concerns about the cost of construction projects in the country.

    Importing materials and equipment for projects has become increasingly expensive over recent years due to Egypt’s currency weakening. Over the past 12 months, the price of cement has increased by almost 50%.

    https://image.digitalinsightresearch.in/uploads/NewsArticle/14889881/main2139.jpg
    Wil Crisp
  • Kuwaiti contractor submits lowest bid for oil project

    17 October 2025

    Ahmadi-based Spetco International has submitted a low bid of KD88.2m ($288.7m) for the contract to develop the planned Mutriba remote boosting facility in Kuwait.

    The project was originally tendered by Kuwait Oil Company (KOC) earlier this year, with a bid submission deadline of 29 June.

    The deadline was extended several times before three Kuwait-based companies submitted bids.

    The details of the bids submitted for the project are as follows:

    • Spetco International – KD88,209,236 ($288.7m)
    • Combined Group Contracting – KD123,000,000 ($402.5m)
    • Alghanim International General Trading & Contracting – KD129,450,000 ($423.7m)

    The project’s scope includes:

    • Development of the Mutriba oil field
    • Installation of the degassing station
    • Installation of manifolds
    • Installation of condensate facilities
    • Installation of wellhead separation units
    • Installation of the pumping system
    • Installation of wellhead facilities
    • Installation of oil and gas treatment plants
    • Installation of a natural gas liquids plant
    • Installation of a water and gas injection plant
    • Construction of associated utilities and facilities

    The onshore Mutriba oil field is located in northwest Kuwait and is being developed as part of Kuwait’s wider strategy to boost the country’s upstream capacity.

    Commercial output from Mutriba officially began on 15 June this year, after several wells were connected to KOC’s production facilities.

    The field, in a previously undeveloped part of Kuwait, covers more than 230 square kilometres and lies outside the area of fields already operated by KOC.

    In September, Kuwait’s Oil Minister Tareq Al‑Roumi said that the country’s oil production capacity had reached 3.2 million barrels a day (b/d), its highest level in more than 10 years.

    Despite the higher capacity, Kuwait says it will continue to abide by Opec+ agreements and will produce 2.559 million b/d.

    https://image.digitalinsightresearch.in/uploads/NewsArticle/14892763/main.png
    Wil Crisp
  • Power market reshapes contractor landscape

    16 October 2025

    Commentary
    Mark Dowdall
    Power & water editor

    Register for MEED’s 14-day trial access 

    The number of UAE-based power projects awarded under the traditional engineering, procurement and construction (EPC) model has fallen to its lowest level in the past decade.

    Admittedly, this does not include the Covid year of 2020, but the point stands. Across the GCC, capital is still flowing into the sector at record levels. What has changed is how that capital is being deployed.

    In a recent analysis, I revealed 2025 to be a record-breaking year, with the UAE’s power market recording its highest annual total for contract awards on record. Yet instead of a broad spread of smaller contracts, governments and utilities are concentrating investment in fewer larger and more complex schemes that are reshaping how the region’s energy systems are built and financed.

    In 2025, a single solar and battery storage independent power project (IPP) in Abu Dhabi accounts for 67% of the country’s total power contract value. EPC contracts, once the mainstay of the market, have been eclipsed by developer-led models as the preferred route for large-scale power generation.

    Saudi Arabia is moving in the same direction, albeit at a different pace. While EPC work remains central to grid expansion, the kingdom’s largest investments are now in utility-scale IPPs backed by the Public Investment Fund.

    In my recent annual ranking of private power developers across the GCC, the surge in power generation capacity owned by Saudi Arabia’s Acwa Power was telling. Not only did the firm’s net equity grow by 70% in a single year, but it now eclipses the combined equity of the other leading developers in the region, a direct result of its dominant role in PIF-backed schemes. These projects, including multi-gigawatt solar and wind developments, are redefining the scale and structure of procurement.

    Behind this shift is a combination of market maturity, financing strategy and energy transition goals. Developer-led projects concentrate capital and risk in fewer hands, streamline procurement timelines and align closely with long-term policy objectives.

    For governments, they deliver capacity without requiring large upfront capital commitments. For developers, they offer stable, long-term returns through secure offtake agreements.

    But this concentration also narrows the field of opportunity. Where dozens of smaller EPC packages once supported a broad ecosystem of contractors and suppliers, today’s market is increasingly revolving around a handful of mega deals.

    Competition is intensifying for fewer projects, and entry barriers, ranging from balance sheet strength to technical capabilities, are rising.

    Smaller EPC contractors, once central to power delivery across the GCC, risk being pushed to the margins. Some will adapt by partnering with larger developers, but others may find fewer opportunities to participate.

    Which takes me back to the UAE. In the water sector, 2026 is already shaping up to be a landmark year, with nearly $31bn-worth of projects in tender. A single project, Dubai’s $22bn Strategic Sewerage Tunnel scheme, accounts for over 70% of this total.

    It will follow a public-private partnership (PPP) delivery model that consolidates the entire scope under one consortium, streamlining delivery. However, this approach significantly reduces the number of prime contracting opportunities, with smaller EPC firms more likely to find themselves competing for limited subcontracting roles rather than leading bids.

    It is important to note that while large-scale projects tend to dominate during major build-out phases, attention inevitably turns to smaller, more distributed schemes.

    However, this alone does not necessarily mean a return to the EPC-heavy landscape of the past. For now, as these large projects set the pace, the region’s energy transition may accelerate, but it will also decide who gets to reshape and build it.

    https://image.digitalinsightresearch.in/uploads/NewsArticle/14884161/main.jpg
    Mark Dowdall