Acquisition with a view to transition
24 October 2024
Adnoc International’s $16.3bn bid for German plastics group Covestro, signed on 1 October, has called fresh attention to the Middle East and North Africa (Mena) region as a source of merger and acquisition (M&A) activity.
The deal by the UAE state energy company’s overseas business arm, which is the largest Mena deal of the year, is just one of a string of acquisitions by regional energy companies seeking to diversify both sectorally and in terms of geography. And energy – notably the low-carbon variant – has emerged as a key focus for buyers.
Within the Mena region, the GCC remains the mainstay of deal flow, with its clutch of sovereign wealth funds (SWFs) and government-related entities (GREs) underpinning activity through transformative agendas that are shaped by government-led ambitions to shift away from oil and gas and embrace newer areas of the economy.
The figures underscore the Gulf bias in M&A deal flow. Ten of the Mena region’s highest-valued M&As in the first six months of 2024 were concentrated in the GCC region.
The UAE and Saudi Arabia saw a combined 152 deals worth $9.8bn and were among the top Mena bidder countries in terms of deal volume and value, according to data from EY.
The largest transaction came in February, when private equity firms including Clayton Dubilier & Rice, Stone Point Capital and Mubadala Investment announced the acquisition of Truist Insurance Holdings, the US’s fifth-largest insurance brokerage, for $12.4bn – a sign that Gulf entities have the appetite and balance sheet to lock down opportunities in North America.
Indeed, according to EY, the US remained the preferred target destination for Mena outbound investors in the first half of 2024, with 19 deals amounting to $16.6bn.
Meanwhile, Gulf-based SWFs dominate in regional M&A activity in terms of deal value. Consultancy Bain & Company says they represented 86% of deal value in 2023, either directly or through portfolio companies.
Industrial focus
Sector-specific drivers have come to the fore for some participants, and that is evident in the spread of M&A activity. Take Saudi Arabia’s Public Investment Fund (PIF), which acquired steel companies Al-Rajhi Steel and Hadeed last year, from Rajhi Invest and Saudi Basic Industries Corporation, respectively, creating a national champion in a domestic steel sector that has consolidated.
Similarly, Adnoc’s Covestro acquisition confirms the prominent role that national oil companies continue to play as they morph into energy companies with more diverse product slates, and in turn are required to grow inorganically at times.
The Covestro deal represents a similar move to the PIF’s steel sector play last year. The German company would become a key plank in Adnoc’s ambition to create a speciality chemicals business. In a similar way, Borealis, in which Adnoc is a minority stakeholder, acquired Austrian chemicals group Integra Plastics in a deal announced in April 2024.
“The acquisitions from Adnoc are in line with a vision that they set out [in 2017], when the company restructured and broadened its scope to be a global business, looking actively for global opportunities to grow and diversify,” says Alice Gower, a partner at Azure Strategy.
She says that the interest in the European downstream sector is “a really smart move, because it not only ensures a market for their products, but it replaces Russian supplies and creates a dependency between Europe and, in this case, the Saudis or Emiratis”.
UAE companies’ interest in buying into European industrial firms has been evident this year. February saw Adnoc complete its long-running effort to acquire a 24.9% stake in Austrian petrochemicals firm OMV, and in May, state held Emirates Global Aluminium completed the acquisition of German aluminium recycling firm Leichtmetall Aluminium Giesserei Hannover.
Another geographic theme has seen GCC firms target Asia and Africa – the latter increasingly a focus in terms of its resource opportunity, as well as its capacity to provide a growing consumer market with an emergent middle class.
Last year, Asia figured in some of the biggest deals involving Mena companies, such as the $2bn investment by the UAE’s Mubadala in Chinese fashion retail firm Shein, and Qatar Investment Authority’s purchase of a $1bn stake in India’s Reliance Retail Ventures.
Resources – particularly transition minerals – look set to remain a prominent theme for Mena dealmakers. In Africa, the UAE’s International Resource Holding, an affiliate of Sheikh Tahnoon Bin Zayed-headed International Holding Company, completed its acquisition of Zambia’s Mopani Copper Mine in March 2023, paying $1.1bn for a 51% stake. The UAE firm has moved into critical metals and sees this entity as playing a key role in developing the metal and mining supply chain.
Energy transition
The energy transition will continue to push Gulf acquirers’ M&A agendas.
Abu Dhabi’s Masdar, eyeing a target 100GW of clean energy by 2030, has become an active M&A player. In June, it acquired a 67% stake in Greek company Terna Energy for $2.9bn.
Deal flow at Masdar has been brisk, with a deal struck in September to acquire renewable energy provider Saeta Yield from US investment firm Brookfield for $1.4bn, handing it significant power assets in Spain and Portugal and a 1.6GW development pipeline.
Masdar has also been growing its US foothold, closing a deal in October for a 50% stake in US renewables company Terra-Gen, which boasts a wind, solar and battery storage portfolio of 3.8GW.
Meanwhile, with the PIF and Mubadala both committed to net-zero targets by 2050, in addition to working to decarbonise their existing portfolios, the funds are investing in green assets and in technologies that support decarbonisation, notes Bain & Company.
Azure Strategy’s Gower cautions against reading too much into the professed diversification agenda, however.
“Everybody talks about diversification, but if you actually look at what they’re investing in, it’s not that far from the fossil fuel industry,” she says.
“There is a vertical integration logic: you’re upstream and you want to then become more involved in midstream and downstream – that makes sense. But the businesses that they are buying are pretty low-margin, so there has to
be a different reason behind this approach.”
Instead, defensive motivations are in play. “It is about capturing shares in assets across different markets in order to spread risk, and then diversifying revenue streams away from direct exports, given their geographic location,” she says.
“Look at what is going on in the region at the moment, and the increase in shipping costs, the instability and insecurity risk.”
Banking mergers
M&A in the Mena banking sector has slowed down in the past five years, following a spate of deals that mainly reflected the reordering of state holdings in large Gulf banks.
In March 2024, the Egyptian subsidiary of Bahrain’s Bank ABC completed its merger with the Egyptian subsidiary of Lebanon’s Blom Bank, tripling Bank ABC’s market share in Egypt.
Market speculation is now centring on consolidation within Kuwait’s banking sector.
The proposed merger of Boubyan Bank and Gulf Bank – Kuwait’s third- and fifth-largest lenders – would create an Islamic lender with assets of about $53bn.
“GCC banks in general have been keeping their options open because these are small, concentrated economies and markets, and therefore international expansion will help diversify business models and improve profitability,” says Redmond Ramsdale, senior director for banks at Fitch Ratings.
M&A moves have taken Gulf banks into the wider region.
“External growth is part of some GCC banks’ strategy to diversify business models and improve profitability,” says Ramsdale. “By deploying capital into high-growth markets, they may be able to compensate for weaker growth in their home markets.”
In the wider Mena region, M&A activity in 2025 will be driven by the big regional SWFs and GREs. The need to decarbonise their portfolios will shape inorganic growth strategies as they look to buy lower-carbon assets ‘off the shelf’ to meet net-zero and emission-reduction targets.
With sizeable acquisition budgets at their disposal, these players do not lack the financial firepower to target assets that will help them meet their goals.
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Petrofac completes sale of Abu Dhabi business unit
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UK-headquartered Petrofac has completed the sale of Petrofac Emirates, a business unit it established in Abu Dhabi in 2008.
The unit has been bought by a consortium of financial investors led by the New York-headquartered hedge fund Mason Capital Management and UK-based asset management firm Pearlstone Alternative.
In a statement, Petrofac said the sale was completed after the satisfaction of all required conditions and approvals.
The business unit was originally founded with a strategy to provide engineering, design, procurement and construction services for oil, gas, refining, petrochemical and renewable energy projects.
Petrofac Emirates has engineering and construction (E&C) capability and includes E&C teams based in the UAE and India.
In its latest statement, Petrofac said: “Petrofac Emirates encompasses Petrofac’s core E&C capability in the UAE.
“The transaction positions Petrofac Emirates as a strong, self-sustaining company with no funded debt on its balance sheet and substantial growth opportunities.”
Leadership role
Under current plans, Tareq Kawash, who has been the group chief executive of Petrofac since April 2023, will become the chief executive of Petrofac Emirates to lead the E&C business through its next phase under new ownership.
Kawash has over 30 years of international leadership experience at engineering procurement and construction (EPC) companies.
Prior to working at Petrofac, he was a senior vice-president at McDermott International.
Following the completion of the sale, Afonso Reis e Sousa will step down as group chief financial officer of Petrofac.
Commenting on the sale of Petrofac Emirates, Kawash said: “The completion of this transaction marks an important milestone for Petrofac Emirates and the beginning of an important new chapter for the business.
“Under our new ownership structure, with a focused platform for growth, we are well-positioned to build on our track record, strengthen our long-standing customer relationships and pursue new opportunities across the wider Mena region.
“The transaction is not the destination; it is the platform from which we move forward with confidence, discipline and ambition.”
Sam Read, a partner at Mason, said: “Our mission is to empower Petrofac Emirates to achieve its strategic goals, capitalise on new market opportunities, and leverage significant growth potential in the dynamic energy EPC sector.
“Petrofac Emirates has market-leading capabilities and an unmatched track record of delivering for its customers, and we look forward to partnering with the company to help drive continued success.”
The sale of Petrofac Emirates follows the completion of the sale of Petrofac Asset Solutions in April.
In December, it was announced that US-based CB&I had entered into a sale agreement to buy the unit.
Petrofac’s asset solutions unit provides operations, maintenance and decommissioning services for onshore and offshore energy assets.
In a statement, CB&I said that the acquisition would strengthen its portfolio with “a complementary reimbursable contracting model business, delivering predictable cash flow and enhancing service capabilities”.
Restructuring disruption
Amid Petrofac’s dramatic restructuring, there has been disruption to progress at some of the company’s projects.
In March, MEED reported that Petrofac, along with its partner China Huanqiu Contracting & Engineering Corporation (HQCEC), had stopped work on a petrochemicals project in Algeria, valued at approximately $1.5bn.
The news about the Algeria project came just over two weeks after MEED reported that Petrofac had also stopped work on an oil project in Libya and cut staff in the North African country.
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Chinese-Saudi joint venture to build 18GWh battery storage plant
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Middle East stocks recover unevenly
1 June 2026
The combined market capitalisation of the MEED Top 100 largest listed companies in the Middle East and North Africa rose to $3.73tn in mid-May 2026, against $3.48tn a year earlier – a 7.2% gain that recovers most of the value lost in the prior two years’ editions. The aggregate is not the story.
Saudi Aramco recovered by $181bn, rising from $1.64tn to $1.82tn and providing substantial support to the aggregate Top 100 valuation. The broader movements in the list differentiated along sectoral lines, with key trends including the continued growth of regional banks, the upward repricing for fertiliser and logistics names amid the Hormuz crisis, and the correction of Saudi mid-tier stocks as valuation peaks have failed to hold.
Oil and gas reweights
Aramco’s share price recovered from about SR25 to SR30, lifting the company’s market cap by 11% and raising the oil and gas sector’s share of the list back to 54.5%.
The company reported first-quarter 2026 net profit of $32.5bn, up 25%, on revenue of $115.5bn – giving it a price-to-earnings ratio of about 18, in line with the Saudi market average as of April.
Aramco’s diversion of crude to Yanbu through its 7 million-barrels-a-day West-to-East pipeline has supported a higher volume of sales at the now elevated prices compared to its Gulf peers, the exports of which have been more seriously affected by the blockade of the Strait of Hormuz.
Other Saudi names also benefiting from this combination of ongoing access through Yanbu and energy repricing produced the cleanest gains, with Rabigh Refining more than doubling in value to $11.7bn despite a $1.1bn loss, Ades Holding rising 40% to $5.8bn, Luberef rising 28% to $5.8bn and Yansab also seeing double-digit returns.
In the UAE, by contrast, Adnoc Gas has remained broadly flat at $66.7bn, with its Q1 2026 net income dropping 15% and conflict damage estimates indicating that full capacity will not be restored until 2027. Borouge meanwhile held, while Adnoc Drilling and Adnoc Distribution gained by 14% and 8%, respectively.
There was some slippage in the petrochemicals sub-cluster, with Saudi Basic Industries Corporation (Sabic) posting a net loss of $6.96bn and sliding 3%, alongside a 2% slide for the energy sector-adjacent Industries Qatar.
Banking and industry
The banking sector, which accounts for 33 of the 100 entries and 18% of the list by value, expanded by an aggregate 6.3% in absolute terms. Al-Rajhi Bank, the largest banking entry at $107.9bn, reported FY2025 net profit up 26% to SR24.8bn ($6.6bn); total assets passed SR1tn for the first time and Q1 2026 net profit rose a further 14%.
Emirates NBD, up 23% year-on-year to $47.1bn, reported FY2025 record profit before tax of AED29.8bn ($8.1bn) and likewise crossed AED1tn in total assets.
Kuwait Finance House also rose by 19%, Abu Dhabi Commercial Bank 19% to $28.7bn and Saudi National Bank 11%. Qatar National Bank stalled and slid 1%, while several smaller banks saw gains. Egypt’s Commercial International Bank rose 74% to $8.4bn off a depressed base, Jordan’s Arab Bank meanwhile rose 55%, Oman’s Bank Muscat by 52% and RakBank by 32%.
Several sectors have gained significantly owing to their direct exposure to the Iran conflict’s supply-chain repricing, including logistics, fertilisers and mining.
Logistics firms in the list gained 44% in absolute terms, with Saudi Arabia’s Bahri reporting Q1 2026 net profits up 303% year and revenue up 129%.
Marsa Maroc, the Casablanca-listed port operator, also entered the list at $6.6bn, up 85% on an African expansion that spans 34 terminals across 20 ports following a Liberia management deal signed in February.
Adnoc Logistics rose 32% to $11.6bn, while Air Arabia, the Sharjah-based low-cost carrier, joined the list at $6.1bn as it absorbed redirected long-haul flows. Nakilat, the Qatari liquefied natural gas shipping operator, was the sector’s sole softener, down 12% on slower throughput.
Mining and fertiliser entries sit alongside the logistics gainers. Jordan Phosphate Mines is the cleanest single expression of the post-Hormuz repricing visible on the list – up 127% year on year to $13.2bn, as the World Bank’s April 2026 Commodity Markets Outlook projects fertiliser prices to rise nearly 31% in 2026.
Maaden rose 23% to $65.3bn after FY2025 net profit jumped 156%, backed by record phosphate production; high aluminium output; and rising silver, copper and aluminium prices linked to artificial intelligence, data centre, solar and electric vehicle demand.
Morocco’s Managem also entered the list at $19.7bn, having almost tripled in value in the past two years on cobalt, silver and copper prices and African expansion.
Sabic Agri-Nutrients rose 44% on a 30% 2025 net profit increase, while Fertiglobe rose by 40% – both potentially anticipating a 60% forecasted rise in urea prices.
Property and other trends
The direction of the property and real estate sector has been uniformly downward. The Iran conflict has driven both a slump in UAE property sales and prices and a similar tourism-adjacent correction in Saudi Arabia. Both the Mecca-focused Umm Al-Qura and Jabal Omar development firms have seen their valuations slashed by more than a third, while Makkah Construction & Development slid by 15%.
The UAE’s Emaar Properties and Dar Al-Arkan and Qatar’s Ezdan Holding have also all seen slides of more than 15%. Kuwait’s Mabanee, which rose by 22%, is the one exception in the sector.
In Saudi Arabia’s mid-tier, Acwa Power shed 29% in value even as its revenue rose 18% and its net income 5.4%. Elm Company likewise shed 33%, Dr Sulaiman Al-Habib 19% and the Saudi Tadawul Group 21%.
Mouwasat Medical Services, MBC Group, Nahdi Medical and Saudi Logistics Services fell out of the list entirely on the same trajectory. Each had reported FY2025 earnings rises before the decline. What corrected was the valuation, not the operations.
Acwa Power’s trailing four-quarter average price-to-earnings ratio was 166x, and even after this year’s decline sits at 88x against the Saudi market average of 17.8x. Elm sits at 26x, Al-Habib at 33x, Saudi Tadawul Group at 42x – all rich by any comparable benchmark.
Many of these entries have fallen away from their peak valuations as the cooling of the gigaproject programme since early 2025 has undermined sentiment.
One example that sits on the same axis from the UAE side is Abu Dhabi National Energy Company (Taqa), which fell by 28% from $95.3bn to $69.0bn despite a 6% net income rise, even as capital expenditure also expanded by 50%.
There are now nine entries from Morocco’s Casablanca bourse against six a year ago, with an aggregate value of $74.7bn, up from $50.8bn. Industrial contractor Societe Generale des Travaux du Maroc,entered via a December 2025 initial public offering (IPO). Several Moroccan stocks have also slipped, however, including Taqa Morocco, down 42%; Maroc Telecom, down 18%; Banque Populaire, down 13%; and Bank of Africa, down 10%.
There has been a similarly divergent trend among 2024 IPO entrants. While OQ Exploration & Production rose 68% to $10.1bn and is now the largest stock on the Muscat Securities Market, the UAE’s Talabat – 2024’s second-largest IPO at $9.2bn – has corrected 33% to $6.1bn.
The Multiply Group has been replaced on the list through its November 2025 merger into 2PointZero Group, which now sits in the top 30 entries at $19.6bn.
Regional repricing
Four trends underpin the list’s 7.2% recovery. The conflict has repriced specific cohorts sharply higher – logistics up 44%, mining and fertilisers up 43%, the Yanbu refiners returning, and Aramco recovering to $181bn – with gains contingent on the Strait of Hormuz remaining closed.
Regional banks have maintained last year’s momentum, with assets crossing trillion-unit thresholds and loan books supported by project activity. Six names have posted double-digit gains that are unlikely to reverse if conditions normalise.
Saudi mid-tier stocks have corrected largely on valuation rather than operations, despite many reporting earnings growth through 2025, as confidence in gigaproject-driven growth has weakened. Property has also softened in the region as conflict has reduced routine and religious tourism.
The 12-month outlook depends on whether Hormuz reopens, whether Saudi mid-tier valuations stabilise, and whether banking expansion holds under broader repricing.
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Developers win deals for $3.5bn of Mecca projects
1 June 2026
The Royal Commission for Makkah City and Holy Sites has awarded six real estate development deals. The projects, which cover a total land area exceeding 2.7 million square metres (sq m), will require a total investment of SR13.3bn ($3.5bn).
The sites are located within the neighbourhoods of Jurhum South, Al-Khalidiyah, Al-Hajlah, Al-Hindawiyah East, Al-Hindawiyah South and Al-Hindawiyah West. The projects will be delivered as partnerships with domestic real estate developers, institutional investors and dedicated private investment funds.
A consortium consisting of Makkah Construction & Development Company, Umm Al-Qura for Development & Construction Company and Al-Rajhi United Real Estate Company will develop the Hindawiya West and Hindawiya South districts, which have a combined area of nearly 1.15 million sq m, adjacent to the Masar Destination project. The consortium informed the Saudi Stock Exchange (Tadawul) that it received letters of award for the project on 31 May.
The initial cost of the project is estimated at SR6bn. Umm Al-Qura will act as the consortium leader and development manager, while Makkah Construction & Development Company will serve as the financial partner. The infrastructure works will be executed by Al-Rajhi United Real Estate Company as the technical partner, with the entire development financed through a private, closed-ended real estate investment fund overseen by a Capital Market Authority-licensed manager.
A consortium comprising First Avenue for Real Estate Development Company, Dar Al-Majed Real Estate Company and Rekaz Real Estate Company has been awarded the concession for the East Hindawiyah site. Located 1.8 kilometres from the Holy Grand Mosque, the 235,000 sq m plot is expected to cost SR2bn to develop, which includes land acquisition and foundational infrastructure. The development will be structured as a real estate investment fund managed by Jadwa Investment, with the ultimate goal of creating an integrated urban destination featuring retail, office, hospitality and residential components. The final contract signing for this deal is expected by 10 June 2026.
Ladun Investment Company, in partnership with Al-Ayuni Investment & Contracting Company, has signed a deal for the Al-Khalidiyah district. With a targeted sales value exceeding SR6bn, the consortium will establish a closed-ended private real estate investment fund to execute extensive infrastructure works, subdivide the land plots, and handle subsequent marketing and sales. The detailed scope of works involves complete engineering designs, public park planning and utility coordination with entities such as National Water Company and Saudi Electricity Company, before a contract is signed by 9 June.
Saudi property dreams: Read the January 2026 MEED Business Review
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