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Acquisition with a view to transition

24 October 2024

 

Adnoc International’s $16.3bn bid for German plastics group Covestro, signed on 1 October, has called fresh attention to the Middle East and North Africa (Mena) region as a source of merger and acquisition (M&A) activity.

The deal by the UAE state energy company’s overseas business arm, which is the largest Mena deal of the year, is just one of a string of acquisitions by regional energy companies seeking to diversify both sectorally and in terms of geography. And energy – notably the low-carbon variant – has emerged as a key focus for buyers.

Within the Mena region, the GCC remains the mainstay of deal flow, with its clutch of sovereign wealth funds (SWFs) and government-related entities (GREs) underpinning activity through transformative agendas that are shaped by government-led ambitions to shift away from oil and gas and embrace newer areas of the economy.

The figures underscore the Gulf bias in M&A deal flow. Ten of the Mena region’s highest-valued M&As in the first six months of 2024 were concentrated in the GCC region. 

The UAE and Saudi Arabia saw a combined 152 deals worth $9.8bn and were among the top Mena bidder countries in terms of deal volume and value, according to data from EY.

The largest transaction came in February, when private equity firms including Clayton Dubilier & Rice, Stone Point Capital and Mubadala Investment announced the acquisition of Truist Insurance Holdings, the US’s fifth-largest insurance brokerage, for $12.4bn – a sign that Gulf entities have the appetite and balance sheet to lock down opportunities in North America. 

Indeed, according to EY, the US remained the preferred target destination for Mena outbound investors in the first half of 2024, with 19 deals amounting to $16.6bn.

Meanwhile, Gulf-based SWFs dominate in regional M&A activity in terms of deal value. Consultancy Bain & Company says they represented 86% of deal value in 2023, either directly or through portfolio companies.

Industrial focus

Sector-specific drivers have come to the fore for some participants, and that is evident in the spread of M&A activity. Take Saudi Arabia’s Public Investment Fund (PIF), which acquired steel companies Al-Rajhi Steel and Hadeed last year, from Rajhi Invest and Saudi Basic Industries Corporation, respectively, creating a national champion in a domestic steel sector that has consolidated.

Similarly, Adnoc’s Covestro acquisition confirms the prominent role that national oil companies continue to play as they morph into energy companies with more diverse product slates, and in turn are required to grow inorganically at times. 

The Covestro deal represents a similar move to the PIF’s steel sector play last year. The German company would become a key plank in Adnoc’s ambition to create a speciality chemicals business. In a similar way, Borealis, in which Adnoc is a minority stakeholder, acquired Austrian chemicals group Integra Plastics in a deal announced in April 2024.

“The acquisitions from Adnoc are in line with a vision that they set out [in 2017], when the company restructured and broadened its scope to be a global business, looking actively for global opportunities to grow and diversify,” says Alice Gower, a partner at Azure Strategy.

She says that the interest in the European downstream sector is “a really smart move, because it not only ensures a market for their products, but it replaces Russian supplies and creates a dependency between Europe and, in this case, the Saudis or Emiratis”.

UAE companies’ interest in buying into European industrial firms has been evident this year. February saw Adnoc complete its long-running effort to acquire a 24.9% stake in Austrian petrochemicals firm OMV, and in May, state held Emirates Global Aluminium completed the acquisition of German aluminium recycling firm Leichtmetall Aluminium Giesserei Hannover. 

Another geographic theme has seen GCC firms target Asia and Africa – the latter increasingly a focus in terms of its resource opportunity, as well as its capacity to provide a growing consumer market with an emergent middle class.

Last year, Asia figured in some of the biggest deals involving Mena companies, such as the $2bn investment by the UAE’s Mubadala in Chinese fashion retail firm Shein, and Qatar Investment Authority’s purchase of a $1bn stake in India’s Reliance Retail Ventures.

Resources – particularly transition minerals – look set to remain a prominent theme for Mena dealmakers. In Africa, the UAE’s International Resource Holding, an affiliate of Sheikh Tahnoon Bin Zayed-headed International Holding Company, completed its acquisition of Zambia’s Mopani Copper Mine in March 2023, paying $1.1bn for a 51% stake. The UAE firm has moved into critical metals and sees this entity as playing a key role in developing the metal and mining supply chain.

Energy transition

The energy transition will continue to push Gulf acquirers’ M&A agendas. 

Abu Dhabi’s Masdar, eyeing a target 100GW of clean energy by 2030, has become an active M&A player. In June, it acquired a 67% stake in Greek company Terna Energy for $2.9bn. 

Deal flow at Masdar has been brisk, with a deal struck in September to acquire renewable energy provider Saeta Yield from US investment firm Brookfield for $1.4bn, handing it significant power assets in Spain and Portugal and a 1.6GW development pipeline. 

Masdar has also been growing its US foothold, closing a deal in October for a 50% stake in US renewables company Terra-Gen, which boasts a wind, solar and battery storage portfolio of 3.8GW.

Meanwhile, with the PIF and Mubadala both committed to net-zero targets by 2050, in addition to working to decarbonise their existing portfolios, the funds are investing in green assets and in technologies that support decarbonisation, notes Bain & Company. 

Azure Strategy’s Gower cautions against reading too much into the professed diversification agenda, however. 

“Everybody talks about diversification, but if you actually look at what they’re investing in, it’s not that far from the fossil fuel industry,” she says. 

“There is a vertical integration logic: you’re upstream and you want to then become more involved in midstream and downstream – that makes sense. But the businesses that they are buying are pretty low-margin, so there has to
be a different reason behind this approach.”

Instead, defensive motivations are in play. “It is about capturing shares in assets across different markets in order to spread risk, and then diversifying revenue streams away from direct exports, given their geographic location,” she says. 

“Look at what is going on in the region at the moment, and the increase in shipping costs, the instability and insecurity risk.”

Banking mergers

M&A in the Mena banking sector has slowed down in the past five years, following a spate of deals that mainly reflected the reordering of state holdings in large Gulf banks.

In March 2024, the Egyptian subsidiary of Bahrain’s Bank ABC completed its merger with the Egyptian subsidiary of Lebanon’s Blom Bank, tripling Bank ABC’s market share in Egypt.

Market speculation is now centring on consolidation within Kuwait’s banking sector.

The proposed merger of Boubyan Bank and Gulf Bank – Kuwait’s third- and fifth-largest lenders – would create an Islamic lender with assets of about $53bn.

“GCC banks in general have been keeping their options open because these are small, concentrated economies and markets, and therefore international expansion will help diversify business models and improve profitability,” says Redmond Ramsdale, senior director for banks at Fitch Ratings.

M&A moves have taken Gulf banks into the wider region. 

“External growth is part of some GCC banks’ strategy to diversify business models and improve profitability,” says Ramsdale. “By deploying capital into high-growth markets, they may be able to compensate for weaker growth in their home markets.”

In the wider Mena region, M&A activity in 2025 will be driven by the big regional SWFs and GREs. The need to decarbonise their portfolios will shape inorganic growth strategies as they look to buy lower-carbon assets ‘off the shelf’ to meet net-zero and emission-reduction targets.

With sizeable acquisition budgets at their disposal, these players do not lack the financial firepower to target assets that will help them meet their goals.

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James Gavin

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    Saudi Arabia's Royal Commission for Riyadh City, in collaboration with Qiddiya Investment Company and the National Centre for Privatisation & PPP, have received interest from over 145 local and international companies for a contract to develop the Qiddiya high-speed rail project in Riyadh.

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    12 November 2025

     

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    The Aramco Stadium in Khobar is moving forward at an impressive pace as the fast-track project races towards completion in 2026.

    The 47,000-seat stadium will be the new home for the Aramco-owned Al-Qadsiah Club and a key venue for the 2027 AFC Asian Cup and the 2034 Fifa World Cup. 

    The project’s progress stems from detailed planning and an accelerated delivery strategy. The project was conceived in May 2023, with the design process, managed by Aramco, commencing shortly thereafter. 

    “We completed the design within six months,” said Mohammed Subhi, the Aramco Stadium’s project manager.


    The project advanced quickly due to thorough planning and a fast-track delivery approach. Initiated in May 2023, the design phase—overseen by Aramco—was completed within six months

    An early engagement approach with the main contractor – a joint venture of Besix and Al-Bawani – was instrumental in maintaining momentum. This partnership began early in 2024, allowing for collaborative input on critical construction elements. 

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    The stadium’s architectural design, inspired by the natural whirlpools of the Gulf and featuring interwoven transparent sails, presents significant engineering challenges, particularly in the structural steel and façade work. For spectator comfort, the stadium is equipped with full cooling systems and designed to the highest international standards.

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    “We control how many trucks can enter the site and at what time. For example, we cannot cast concrete during the day. It has to be after 6pm, up until the early morning,” said Subhi.

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    The project employs a sophisticated Smart Safety Command Centre (SCC), which utilises artificial intelligence-based monitoring and 24/7 surveillance. One key feature of the centre is the crane collision prevention system – a key technological advancement in heavy machinery coordination and a first for the region. 

    “We have tower cranes and crawler cranes talking to each other. The anti-collision system means cranes talk to each other without human interference, and they automatically shut down when they are too close to each other,” said Subhi.


    A key technological advancement is the crane collision prevention system, which means the cranes talk to each other and shut down if they become too close

    In addition to ground operations, the project is leveraging aerial technology to mitigate risk in high-altitude work.

    “We have used drones for the inspection of the cranes and inspection of the steel structure itself to minimise the risk of working at height,” said Subhi.


    Drones have been adopted on-site to mitigate the risk of working at height

    Worker welfare

    The project’s commitment extends beyond mere regulatory compliance to comprehensive worker welfare, establishing a high standard for construction sites in the region. 

    With current staffing reaching approximately 11,000 direct and indirect workers, welfare provisions are a core priority, linking directly back to Aramco’s corporate standards.

    In a region where extreme heat is a constant challenge, the project has implemented advanced heat stress management protocols. This includes the installation of heat sensors with alarm systems, mandatory work stoppage during peak heat hours and regular briefings on heat exhaustion symptoms. Fully air-conditioned rest areas are provided for breaks and meals.

    Aramco is also committed to developing national talent. A significant proportion of the staff are young, and about 20% of the team are women.

    The relationship with the joint-venture contractor is defined by collaboration rather than traditional client-contractor hierarchy. “We are one team, working together,” said Subhi. This approach has fostered a cooperative environment that is accelerating the on-site progress towards the 2026 completion goal. 

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    Colin Foreman