Abu Dhabi and Riyadh compete for capacity
24 March 2025
Electricity generation installed capacity from renewable and nuclear energy sources is expected to overtake conventional installed capacity in Abu Dhabi by 2029.
Based on known projects that are under various stages of procurement and in line with a plan to procure 1.5GW of renewable capacity annually until the mid-2030s, as well as an assumption that the contracts for thermal capacities expiring between 2025 and 2029 will not be renewed, the UAE capital could see its total electricity generation installed capacity rise to approximately 38.5GW by 2029, up from around 22GW as of the end of 2024.
This figure includes the 5.2GW capacity from the solar photovoltaic (PV) project being built by Abu Dhabi Future Energy Company (Masdar), which is expected to come on stream in 2027. The project will supply up to 1GW of baseload capacity in tandem with a 19 gigawatt-hour battery energy storage system plant.
By 2029, the share of renewable energy is expected to reach 37% and nuclear energy 14% of total installed capacity. Capacity from gas-fired fleets is forecast to be 49%, down from 69% this year.
This scenario assumes that all projects under procurement and construction achieve commercial operations according to their timeline, that all four gas-fired fleets with a combined expiring capacity of 7.2GW are not extended, and that another 1.5GW solar PV project will be launched next year, following the Al-Zarraf solar IPP.
This further implies that at least 1.5GW of renewable energy capacity will start operating annually from 2026, and planned gas-fired power plants will be completed successively between 2027 and 2029. It precludes the launch of new thermal power projects apart from those already known or announced.
This massive capacity buildout, equivalent to between 16GW or 70% and 21GW or 94%, if the round-the-clock solar capacity is included, of its current installed capacity, requires Abu Dhabi to rapidly upgrade its grid infrastructure and deploy substantial battery energy storage capacity to ensure grid resilience and flexibility.
Competing for capacity
It also tests the capacity of developers and engineering, procurement and construction (EPC) contractors, which are equally beholden to pursue new contracts in Saudi Arabia.
The kingdom faces a pending deadline to decommission ageing liquid fuel-fired plants as part of an overall energy transition plan for its electricity sector. It aspires to procure 20GW of renewable energy capacity annually until 2030 "subject to demand growth", and have renewable sources account for half its electricity generation capacity at the end of the forecast period.
According to MEED Projects and MEED data, Saudi Arabia entered what could be the busiest period for power generation capacity buildout in its history this year, with over 50GW of power generation projects under construction, or about to start construction.
This is equivalent to over a quarter of its current installed capacity, which will also require a 60% expansion of its electricity grid coverage.
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The scale and volume of contracts in both jurisdictions are a positive development for many developers and contractors, following a major slowdown in the years before and after the Covid-19 pandemic.
Even those extremely cautious about solar PV projects' ability to deliver desired profits, or those obliged to say no to thermal projects that do not offer a clear carbon capture path, can pivot to the rapidly expanding battery energy storage projects or, indeed, the potential hydropower projects in Neom in Saudi Arabia.
Retreating bidders
It must be noted, however, that several international utility developers are shifting their geographical focus away from the region and have expressed a desire not to compete in the upcoming tenders for power generation projects.
As a result, the latest tenders in Riyadh and Abu Dhabi generally received fewer-than-expected bids. This trend may continue due to distinct factors affecting each fuel type.
“The volume of utility-scale gas projects is outstripping the availability of credible developers,” notes a senior executive with an advisory firm in the UAE. “Either they are already overloaded, withdrawing from the gas market, or uninterested in a particular country.”
Another key issue for developers and EPC contractors, regardless of the location of these projects, is the gas turbine original equipment manufacturer (OEM) gridlock, which affects delivery time and prices.
In general, top OEM manufacturers are caught between two choices: expand their capacity to accommodate rising demand and secure substantial cash flow going forward, or ignore the short to medium-term demand and eliminate the risk of building capacity that may be stranded beyond 2030, when clients may stop procuring new gas utility plants.
On the other hand, interest in renewables may remain intact, subject to improving returns prospects, another expert tells MEED.
Nonetheless, these developments translate to significant opportunities, particularly for local developers, EPC contractors and other OEM manufacturers – such as Italy's Ansaldo Energia – which have remained on the fringes of the region's utility power projects markets for many years.
Chinese firms that previously only focused on EPC, for instance, are gradually stepping up to the role of utility developers, which can help ensure that the region's offtakers continue to secure world-record-low tariffs for future projects.
This, however, may also seal the decisions by more established developers to exit the region for good.
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Planning for growth
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Syria in talks for refinery project worth $6bn-8bn9 November 2026
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Discussions are under way with international companies to develop a refinery in Syria’s Furqlus area, worth $6bn-8bn, according to a senior official at state-owned Syrian Petroleum Company (SPC).
The project will be “very large” and, after completion, will replace Syria’s Homs refinery, according to SPC’s deputy executive president for refining affairs, Tariq Shalash Al-Abdullah, who spoke to Syria’s state-owned daily newspaper Al-Thawra Al-Souriya.
He said the international companies currently involved in talks about the planned refinery project specialise in design work, engineering and technical studies.
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In June, SPC published an invitation for companies to submit proposals to finance, build and operate the refinery under a build-operate-transfer agreement.
The tender document published by SPC said the refinery would have the capacity to process 210,000 barrels a day (b/d).
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SPC invited companies to submit three separate documents relating to their proposals.
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- A gas recovery system
- A unit to produce nitrogen and oxygen
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Three Libya oil and gas projects see developments9 November 2026

Three key oil and gas projects in Libya have seen developments amid an uptick in activity in the North African country’s hydrocarbon sector.
The contract scopes include seismic work, subsea pipeline development and drilling services.
An invitation to prequalify has been issued for a project to provide two-dimensional (2D) and three-dimensional (3D) offshore seismic surveying services.
The survey area is the Libyan Offshore Area O1, located in the Sirte Basin.
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Deadline extended
Libya’s Mellitah Oil & Gas Company (MOG) has extended the deadline for companies to submit prequalification documents for a major offshore package as part of its Mellitah complex expansion and CO2 management integrated development project, which is estimated to be worth about $8bn.
The previous deadline of 5 November 2026 has been extended to 3 December 2026.
MOG, a joint venture of NOC and Eni, is the project client.
The package, known as WP4B1, focuses on developing offshore pipelines and subsea systems for the E offshore installation and CO2 project.
The turnkey contract will use the engineering, procurement, installation and commissioning (EPIC) model.
As part of the Mellitah complex expansion and CO2 management integrated development project, two offshore structures – Structure A and Structure E – will be developed in Libya’s offshore block NC 41.
Structure A is also known as wellhead production fixed platform A (WHPA) and Structure E is also known as production platform E (PPE).
Structure A is in the central-western part of the area, about 80 kilometres (km) from the Libyan coast, with a water depth of 95-105 metres.
Structure E is located in the central-eastern part of the area, about 130km from the Libyan coast, in a water depth of 205-235 metres.
The scope of the wider project includes:
- A new production platform installed in about 220 metres of water depth as part of the development of Structure E (Package WP1)
- A new wellhead platform installed in 96 metres of water as part of the development of Structure A (Package WP2)
- Modification of the existing Sabratha platform (Package WP3)
- Sealines and subsea systems extending from the Sabratha platform to Structure A (Package WP4A1)
- Sealines and subsea systems for Structure E and the CO2 system (Package WP4B1)
- Supply of seamless carbon steel pipes for CO2 injection from the Mellitah complex to Sabratha platform (Package WP4B2)
- Subsea Production Systems (SPS) for Structure E and CO2 (Package WP4B3)
- Upgrading the existing onshore Mellitah complex (WP5)
The package known as WP4B1 has been broken down into two phases.
The first phase focuses on the installation of the project’s subsea CO2 pipeline and its related system network.
The second phase of WP4B1 is focused on the pipeline to structure E and its related subsea system network.
Monitoring drilling
MOG has also issued a separate invitation for prequalification relating to a contract to provide hydrogen sulphide monitoring services for offshore drilling.
The contract focuses on providing H2S monitoring services for 18 offshore development wells as part of the “Structures A&E” project.
Four of the wells will be subsea wet wells and a further 14 will be dry tree wells.
The deadline for submitting prequalification documents is 3 December 2026.
The work will be carried out in the zone known as Area D, Block NC41.
H2S monitoring in the oil and gas industry involves tracking H2S gas concentrations in the air using electronic sensors and detectors to protect workers, prevent fatal exposures and avoid equipment damage.
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