Abu Dhabi and Riyadh compete for capacity
24 March 2025
Electricity generation installed capacity from renewable and nuclear energy sources is expected to overtake conventional installed capacity in Abu Dhabi by 2029.
Based on known projects that are under various stages of procurement and in line with a plan to procure 1.5GW of renewable capacity annually until the mid-2030s, as well as an assumption that the contracts for thermal capacities expiring between 2025 and 2029 will not be renewed, the UAE capital could see its total electricity generation installed capacity rise to approximately 38.5GW by 2029, up from around 22GW as of the end of 2024.
This figure includes the 5.2GW capacity from the solar photovoltaic (PV) project being built by Abu Dhabi Future Energy Company (Masdar), which is expected to come on stream in 2027. The project will supply up to 1GW of baseload capacity in tandem with a 19 gigawatt-hour battery energy storage system plant.
By 2029, the share of renewable energy is expected to reach 37% and nuclear energy 14% of total installed capacity. Capacity from gas-fired fleets is forecast to be 49%, down from 69% this year.
This scenario assumes that all projects under procurement and construction achieve commercial operations according to their timeline, that all four gas-fired fleets with a combined expiring capacity of 7.2GW are not extended, and that another 1.5GW solar PV project will be launched next year, following the Al-Zarraf solar IPP.
This further implies that at least 1.5GW of renewable energy capacity will start operating annually from 2026, and planned gas-fired power plants will be completed successively between 2027 and 2029. It precludes the launch of new thermal power projects apart from those already known or announced.
This massive capacity buildout, equivalent to between 16GW or 70% and 21GW or 94%, if the round-the-clock solar capacity is included, of its current installed capacity, requires Abu Dhabi to rapidly upgrade its grid infrastructure and deploy substantial battery energy storage capacity to ensure grid resilience and flexibility.
Competing for capacity
It also tests the capacity of developers and engineering, procurement and construction (EPC) contractors, which are equally beholden to pursue new contracts in Saudi Arabia.
The kingdom faces a pending deadline to decommission ageing liquid fuel-fired plants as part of an overall energy transition plan for its electricity sector. It aspires to procure 20GW of renewable energy capacity annually until 2030 "subject to demand growth", and have renewable sources account for half its electricity generation capacity at the end of the forecast period.
According to MEED Projects and MEED data, Saudi Arabia entered what could be the busiest period for power generation capacity buildout in its history this year, with over 50GW of power generation projects under construction, or about to start construction.
This is equivalent to over a quarter of its current installed capacity, which will also require a 60% expansion of its electricity grid coverage.
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The scale and volume of contracts in both jurisdictions are a positive development for many developers and contractors, following a major slowdown in the years before and after the Covid-19 pandemic.
Even those extremely cautious about solar PV projects' ability to deliver desired profits, or those obliged to say no to thermal projects that do not offer a clear carbon capture path, can pivot to the rapidly expanding battery energy storage projects or, indeed, the potential hydropower projects in Neom in Saudi Arabia.
Retreating bidders
It must be noted, however, that several international utility developers are shifting their geographical focus away from the region and have expressed a desire not to compete in the upcoming tenders for power generation projects.
As a result, the latest tenders in Riyadh and Abu Dhabi generally received fewer-than-expected bids. This trend may continue due to distinct factors affecting each fuel type.
“The volume of utility-scale gas projects is outstripping the availability of credible developers,” notes a senior executive with an advisory firm in the UAE. “Either they are already overloaded, withdrawing from the gas market, or uninterested in a particular country.”
Another key issue for developers and EPC contractors, regardless of the location of these projects, is the gas turbine original equipment manufacturer (OEM) gridlock, which affects delivery time and prices.
In general, top OEM manufacturers are caught between two choices: expand their capacity to accommodate rising demand and secure substantial cash flow going forward, or ignore the short to medium-term demand and eliminate the risk of building capacity that may be stranded beyond 2030, when clients may stop procuring new gas utility plants.
On the other hand, interest in renewables may remain intact, subject to improving returns prospects, another expert tells MEED.
Nonetheless, these developments translate to significant opportunities, particularly for local developers, EPC contractors and other OEM manufacturers – such as Italy's Ansaldo Energia – which have remained on the fringes of the region's utility power projects markets for many years.
Chinese firms that previously only focused on EPC, for instance, are gradually stepping up to the role of utility developers, which can help ensure that the region's offtakers continue to secure world-record-low tariffs for future projects.
This, however, may also seal the decisions by more established developers to exit the region for good.
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Risk accelerates Saudi spending shift27 March 2026
Commentary
John Bambridge
Analysis editorThe headline story of Saudi Arabia’s project economy in 2026 is what is no longer being built: The Line deferred. The Mukaab suspended. Trojena stripped of its marquee event. Saudi Arabia’s construction sector is in a period of readjustment, pivoting away from prestige-driven capital expenditure towards deliverable priorities.
Operation Epic Fury changes none of this. The pivot was already under way following the Public Investment Fund’s board review in late 2024, which cut budgets across more than 100 investee companies by up to 60%. However, the Iran war has helped accelerate and clarify the shift.
Grasping the full picture of this pivot, it is less austere than it might appear. Project awards declined in 2025, but remained above historical averages, resulting in a net gain for the sector.
Activity generally remains strong. Saudi Arabia’s rail network is expanding on multiple fronts: the Jeddah Metro Blue Line has returned to procurement, while high-speed and national rail projects are advancing. Desalination capacity is forecast to nearly double by 2031, and wind power contract values surged by 175% in 2025. Saudi Aramco is maintaining high capital expenditure in 2026, focused on offshore projects and gas production.
These programmes may not attract the global attention of a 170-kilometre mirrored city, but they share something gigaprojects often lacked: a clear functional return. Water security, energy diversification, transport connectivity and domestic gas supply are the load-bearing infrastructure of a modern economy. The kingdom is now building that infrastructure again in earnest.
The closure of the Strait of Hormuz has made the strategic logic of this reorientation even harder to ignore. Glitzy projects do not secure borders. By contrast, a country that cannot guarantee the security of its export corridors is strongly incentivised to invest in infrastructure that supports its domestic economic base and strengthens resilience. Every desalination plant, rail link and gigawatt of renewable capacity reduces Saudi Arabia’s exposure to external shocks.
The medium-term direction was already clear: capital was being redeployed from speculative projects towards infrastructure with bankable returns. That rationale has now gained additional strategic weight.
As Saudi Arabia’s project economy matures, what is emerging is less photogenic but far more defensible: the infrastructure backbone that Vision 2030 always required, and that the kingdom’s exposure to regional instability now demands. The Iran war did not create this shift, but it has removed any remaining argument for reversing it.

MEED’s April 2026 report on Saudi Arabia includes:
> GVT &: ECONOMY: Riyadh navigates a changed landscape
> BANKING: Testing times for Saudi banks
> UPSTREAM: Offshore oil and gas projects to dominate Aramco capex in 2026
> DOWNSTREAM: Saudi downstream projects market enters lean period
> POWER: Wind power gathers pace in Saudi Arabia
> WATER: Sharakat plan signals next phase of Saudi water expansion
> CONSTRUCTION: Saudi construction enters a period of strategic readjustment
> TRANSPORT: Rail expansion powers Saudi Arabia’s infrastructure pushTo see previous issues of MEED Business Review, please click herehttps://image.digitalinsightresearch.in/uploads/NewsArticle/16163037/main.gif -
Remaking construction in Saudi Arabia27 March 2026

As the Public Investment Fund (PIF) took a leading role in developing projects following the launch of Vision 2030, it quickly realised that Saudi Arabia’s construction sector needed support if the kingdom was to achieve its broader economic ambitions.
The PIF’s National Development Division (NDD) is the entity tasked with building capacity and capability in the construction sector to support PIF projects and other strategically important schemes in the kingdom.
“Our job is to facilitate the development of the local value chains, which are essential to support the development and operations of PIF portfolio companies,” says Leyla Abdimomunova, head of real estate and construction, National Development Division, PIF.
The scale of this undertaking requires a multi-front strategy, targeting everything from consultancy services and contracting capacity to raw materials and advanced technologies.
“The focus is on design and construction services, building materials, construction equipment and the value chain for all things in construction technology. This work requires engagements with stakeholders within the PIF portfolio: development and contracting companies where PIF has a share,” says Abdimomunova. “We also work closely with governmental stakeholders – including the Ministry of Municipalities & Housing, the Ministry of Investment and the Ministry of Industry & Mineral Resources – alongside our private sector partners, to ensure alignment across the ecosystem.
“This collaboration approach is essential to addressing market challenges holistically and creating an environment where businesses can invest, grow and participate more effectively in Saudi Arabia’s development,” she notes.
Unified strategy
The integrated approach was born out of necessity.
“When we started this work five years ago, the initial challenge we dealt with was the shortage of the local supply of construction services and materials,” says Abdimomunova.
To bridge the gap, the NDD looked to both support local players and attract international firms.
“The focus was on the localisation of the supply chain, bringing the manufacturing capacity into the kingdom by either expanding the existing capacities of local players or installing new capacity together with local players, but also bringing foreign investments into the country to set up factories,” she says.
On the services side, the challenge was reputational. Riyadh had to convince the world’s best builders that the Saudi market had fundamentally changed. While courting global giants, the NDD also had to address the fragmentation of the domestic market.
“We found that there were two primary obstacles in our portfolio: a high concentration of contractors on one hand, and underutilised capabilities of the local contractors on the other hand.”
The challenge was moving the large number of small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) from the periphery to the core of the PIF’s portfolio of projects.
“In order to overcome these obstacles, a lot of focus was on attracting international contractors – those that were not working in the kingdom at the time – in order to expand and diversify the pool of contractors, while also putting a lot of effort into building up the capabilities within the local market,” Abdimomunova notes.
“The local contracting market is very fragmented. A large proportion of contractors are SMEs, and only the large Saudi contractors are predominantly known inside the kingdom.
“We put in place programmes to support the development of the medium-sized contractors and increase their visibility to our development companies,” she says.
A lot of effort went into making sure contractors have access to financing
Leyla Abdimomunova, National Development Division, PIFThe NDD has also introduced practical upskilling and financial tools. “We put in place a few tools, working together with ecosystem partners. For example, the Prequalification Platform, which was launched and is being operated with the Saudi Contractors Authority, [and] contractor upskilling bootcamps that have been delivered by our development companies to provide contractors with the basic understanding needed to be able to bid for projects.
“A lot of effort went into making sure contractors have access to financing,” Abdimomunova adds.
Indeed, addressing the finances of the construction sector was another critical area for the NDD.
By moving beyond traditional methods and practices, it has introduced more flexible liquidity options for the industry. “We launched the Contractor Financing Programme to expand access to financing and strengthen liquidity for contactors supporting Saudi Arabia’s development pipeline.
“In partnership with the National Infrastructure Fund, we introduced guarantee mechanisms to unlock additional bank lending capacity, alongside a new product for the region: surety bonds – as an insurance alternative to traditional bank guarantees,” says Abdimomunova.
“Since receiving regulatory approval last year, 34 surety bonds have already been issued, helping contractors participate more effectively in large-scale projects.”
Adjusting priorities
With the foundational work established, the NDD is now shifting its focus towards streamlining the experience for international companies and tackling the sector’s long-standing structural hurdles.
Looking ahead, the NDD intends to tackle the perennial problems of the industry – payment delays and productivity – to ensure that the transformation of the sector is permanent.
“Going forwards, our work will go one level deeper, focusing on resolving structural challenges and strengthening the underlying enablers that support private sector participation.
“We are working closely with our partners across Saudi Arabia to ensure these improvements are sustainable, scalable and embedded not only within the PIF’s ecosystem, but across the broader national economy,” Abdimomunova concludes.
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Contractor appointed for Morocco grand stadium rail station27 March 2026
Moroccan construction firm Jet Contractors has won a contract to build a railway station at the Grand Stade Hassan II stadium in Benslimane, as part of the Kenitra-Marrakech high-speed rail project.
The estimated $45m deal was awarded by the Moroccan National Railways Office (ONCF).
The new station will serve the 115,000-seat Grand Stade Hassan II and will allow passengers to travel from Casablanca and Rabat in 20 minutes using the high-speed rail network.
It is expected to handle around 12 million passengers a year. Construction of the station is scheduled for completion in 2028.
Construction work on the main stadium started in June last year, when a joint venture of local contractors Travaux Generaux de Construction de Casablanca and Societe Generale des Travaux du Maroc was awarded a $320m contract for the next stage of works on the stadium. The venue will be one of the hosts for the 2030 Fifa World Cup.
The stadium is being built on a 100-hectare site in the El-Mansouria area of Benslimane Province, 38 kilometres north of Casablanca.
Morocco has been investing heavily in upgrading its infrastructure for the football World Cup, which it is co-hosting with Spain and Portugal.
Morocco was effectively confirmed as a host country alongside Spain and Portugal in October 2023, after the group emerged as the sole bidder for the event. The official selection was announced in December last year.
Along with building a stadium in Benslimane, the Moroccan government plans to revamp six existing stadiums in Agadir, Casablanca, Fez, Marrakech, Rabat and Tangier, and upgrade air, road and rail projects.
Last year, Morocco’s transport and logistics minister unveiled a MD96bn ($9.5bn) investment plan to transform the country’s rail infrastructure by 2030.
The announcement followed the award of about MD20bn-worth of contracts in November 2024 – mostly to local and Chinese firms – for civil works packages on the Marrakech-Kenitra high-speed rail line.
The link will extend the Al-Boraq railway, a high-speed rail line between Tangier, Rabat and Casablanca. The line started operating in 2018 and was Africa’s first high-speed railway system.
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March 2026: Data drives regional projects27 March 2026
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Includes: Commodity tracker | Top 10 global contractors | Brent spot price | Construction output
MEED’s April 2026 report on Saudi Arabia includes:
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> BANKING: Testing times for Saudi banks
> UPSTREAM: Offshore oil and gas projects to dominate Aramco capex in 2026
> DOWNSTREAM: Saudi downstream projects market enters lean period
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> WATER: Sharakat plan signals next phase of Saudi water expansion
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> TRANSPORT: Rail expansion powers Saudi Arabia’s infrastructure pushTo see previous issues of MEED Business Review, please click herehttps://image.digitalinsightresearch.in/uploads/NewsArticle/16146608/main.gif -
Redefining the region’s arbitration landscape27 March 2026

In the midst of increasing international investments and commercial transactions in the Middle East, arbitration remains a key component for the resolution of complex commercial disputes. Its effectiveness, however, depends not only on arbitral tribunals, but also on how national courts define their roles in oversight and enforcement.
Recent trends in the Middle East have shown a more disciplined judicial approach with a clearer delineation of roles between courts and arbitral tribunals.
Enforcement: a narrower approach
Enforcement of foreign awards has been a key area of development.
In the UAE, the Committee for the Unification of Federal and Local Judicial Principles ruled in Petition No. 1 of 2025 that an award shall be valid and enforceable provided the arbitrators sign only the final page. Referring to earlier Dubai Court of Cassation decisions (1), the Committee noted that procedural rules should not be used to defeat substantive rights and that legal procedures are meant to serve justice, not to create technical barriers.
The Dubai Court of Cassation adopted the same approach, confirming that arbitrators are not required to sign every page of the award and that issues already examined during arbitration, including signatory capacity, cannot be reopened at the enforcement stage. (2)
A similar emphasis on clarity can be seen in Saudi Arabia, where the Arbitration Law is currently under review, with the aim of modernising the legislative framework and enhancing predictability. The draft reform includes clearer provisions regarding court–tribunal interaction, permits courts to stay annulment proceedings or enforcement challenges for up to 60 days to enable tribunals to cure defects, and confirms that partial and interim awards have the authority of a final judgment and are directly enforceable.
The ADGM and Dubai Courts have also introduced a system of reciprocal enforcement of ratified arbitral awards without the need to re-examine the underlying award.
These developments therefore suggest a narrower approach and a reduced scope for expansive review at the enforcement stage.
Recent trends have shown a more disciplined judicial approach with a clearer delineation of roles between courts and arbitral tribunals
Judicial intervention: limits of review
Courts have also refined the scope of annulment and supervisory review.
The Abu Dhabi Court of Cassation clarified that annulment is not an appeal on the merits. Courts may not reweigh evidence or revisit a tribunal’s interpretation of the law. The grounds of annulment remain limited to the statutory grounds set out in the Federal Arbitration Law. (3)
Egyptian courts likewise limit grounds for annulment to exhaustively listed statutory grounds, excluding reassessment of the merits.
In the wider regional landscape, Morocco’s arbitration reform demonstrates a similar trajectory. The updated framework modernises the regime and clarifies the supportive role of domestic courts, reinforcing a structured balance between oversight and arbitral autonomy.
Across these jurisdictions, review powers are increasingly exercised within defined legal parameters rather than through re-examination of arbitral reasoning.
Public policy: a limited exception
Public policy continues to be a ground for refusing enforcement, but recent decisions suggest it is applied with greater restraint. For instance, in the UAE, the imposition of compound interest is not considered to be in contravention of public policy. (4) At the DIFC level, the Court specified that the refusal on public policy grounds is subject to a high standard and is only justified where enforcement would “violate the forum state’s most basic notions of morality and justice”. (5)
Saudi Arabia recognises sharia compliance and public policy as potential grounds for refusal. While rooted in the foundations of its legal system, they operate within defined statutory boundaries.
Public policy therefore functions as a defined safeguard rather than a vehicle for broad review.
Implications for cross-border activity
Where enforcement review is confined to the grounds set out in the New York Convention and annulment remains limited to statutory bases, the interaction between tribunals and courts becomes more predictable. In disputes involving assets across multiple states, this delineation contributes to greater certainty at the post-award stage.
The complementary role of the ICC
Institutional practice operates alongside these developments.
The ICC Court and its Secretariat ensure proceedings are conducted with care, independence, impartiality and integrity, in strict compliance with the Court’s obligations and duties under its rules. In doing so, the Court and the Secretariat monitor cases to safeguard due process and procedural fairness.
One of the distinctive features of ICC arbitration and a cornerstone of the Rules is the Court’s scrutiny of all draft awards. Such a process serves to enhance the quality of the award, improve its general accuracy and persuasiveness; and maximise its legal effectiveness by identifying any defects that could be used in an attempt to have it set aside at the place of arbitration or resist its enforcement elsewhere.
In complex, multi-contract and multi-jurisdictional disputes, this scrutiny plays an important role in safeguarding enforceability across different jurisdictions.
As courts continue to define the limits of intervention, institutional discipline and judicial oversight increasingly operate side by side, reinforcing confidence in arbitration across the Middle East.
1. Dubai Court of Cassation – Cases No. 109/2022 and No. 403/2020 2. Dubai Court of Cassation – Appeals Nos. 778 and 887 of 2025 3. Abu Dhabi Court of Cassation – Cases Nos. 1115/2024 and No. 166/2024 4. Dubai Court of Cassation – Appeals Nos. 778 and 887 of 2025 5. DIFC Court of Appeal’s decision dated 9 January 2025
About the author
Laetitia Rabbat is deputy counsel, ICC International Court of Arbitration, Abu Dhabihttps://image.digitalinsightresearch.in/uploads/NewsArticle/16145450/main.gif