Abu Dhabi and Riyadh compete for capacity

24 March 2025

Electricity generation installed capacity from renewable and nuclear energy sources is expected to overtake conventional installed capacity in Abu Dhabi by 2029.

Based on known projects that are under various stages of procurement and in line with a plan to procure 1.5GW of renewable capacity annually until the mid-2030s, as well as an assumption that the contracts for thermal capacities expiring between 2025 and 2029 will not be renewed, the UAE capital could see its total electricity generation installed capacity rise to approximately 38.5GW by 2029, up from around 22GW as of the end of 2024.

This figure includes the 5.2GW capacity from the solar photovoltaic (PV) project being built by Abu Dhabi Future Energy Company (Masdar), which is expected to come on stream in 2027. The project will supply up to 1GW of baseload capacity in tandem with a 19 gigawatt-hour battery energy storage system plant.

By 2029, the share of renewable energy is expected to reach 37% and nuclear energy 14% of total installed capacity. Capacity from gas-fired fleets is forecast to be 49%, down from 69% this year.

This scenario assumes that all projects under procurement and construction achieve commercial operations according to their timeline, that all four gas-fired fleets with a combined expiring capacity of 7.2GW are not extended, and that another 1.5GW solar PV project will be launched next year, following the Al-Zarraf solar IPP.

This further implies that at least 1.5GW of renewable energy capacity will start operating annually from 2026, and planned gas-fired power plants will be completed successively between 2027 and 2029. It precludes the launch of new thermal power projects apart from those already known or announced.

This massive capacity buildout, equivalent to between 16GW or 70% and 21GW or 94%, if the round-the-clock solar capacity is included, of its current installed capacity, requires Abu Dhabi to rapidly upgrade its grid infrastructure and deploy substantial battery energy storage capacity to ensure grid resilience and flexibility.

Competing for capacity

It also tests the capacity of developers and engineering, procurement and construction (EPC) contractors, which are equally beholden to pursue new contracts in Saudi Arabia.

The kingdom faces a pending deadline to decommission ageing liquid fuel-fired plants as part of an overall energy transition plan for its electricity sector. It aspires to procure 20GW of renewable energy capacity annually until 2030 "subject to demand growth", and have renewable sources account for half its electricity generation capacity at the end of the forecast period.

According to MEED Projects and MEED data, Saudi Arabia entered what could be the busiest period for power generation capacity buildout in its history this year, with over 50GW of power generation projects under construction, or about to start construction.

This is equivalent to over a quarter of its current installed capacity, which will also require a 60% expansion of its electricity grid coverage. 

Related reads: 

The scale and volume of contracts in both jurisdictions are a positive development for many developers and contractors, following a major slowdown in the years before and after the Covid-19 pandemic.

Even those extremely cautious about solar PV projects' ability to deliver desired profits, or those obliged to say no to thermal projects that do not offer a clear carbon capture path, can pivot to the rapidly expanding battery energy storage projects or, indeed, the potential hydropower projects in Neom in Saudi Arabia.

Retreating bidders 

It must be noted, however, that several international utility developers are shifting their geographical focus away from the region and have expressed a desire not to compete in the upcoming tenders for power generation projects.

As a result, the latest tenders in Riyadh and Abu Dhabi generally received fewer-than-expected bids. This trend may continue due to distinct factors affecting each fuel type.

“The volume of utility-scale gas projects is outstripping the availability of credible developers,” notes a senior executive with an advisory firm in the UAE. “Either they are already overloaded, withdrawing from the gas market, or uninterested in a particular country.”

Another key issue for developers and EPC contractors, regardless of the location of these projects, is the gas turbine original equipment manufacturer (OEM) gridlock, which affects delivery time and prices.

In general, top OEM manufacturers are caught between two choices: expand their capacity to accommodate rising demand and secure substantial cash flow going forward, or ignore the short to medium-term demand and eliminate the risk of building capacity that may be stranded beyond 2030, when clients may stop procuring new gas utility plants.

On the other hand, interest in renewables may remain intact, subject to improving returns prospects, another expert tells MEED.

Nonetheless, these developments translate to significant opportunities, particularly for local developers, EPC contractors and other OEM manufacturers – such as Italy's Ansaldo Energia – which have remained on the fringes of the region's utility power projects markets for many years.

Chinese firms that previously only focused on EPC, for instance, are gradually stepping up to the role of utility developers, which can help ensure that the region's offtakers continue to secure world-record-low tariffs for future projects.

This, however, may also seal the decisions by more established developers to exit the region for good.

https://image.digitalinsightresearch.in/uploads/NewsArticle/13526524/main.jpg
Jennifer Aguinaldo
Related Articles
  • Building resilience into infrastructure delivery

    21 October 2026

     

    The regional disruptions earlier this year tested Gulf supply chains, challenging the movement of goods and construction materials and raising questions about the ability of infrastructure programmes to maintain momentum.

    For the UAE Ministry of Energy & Infrastructure, the experience reinforced the importance of the systems that support project delivery, from transport networks and customs procedures to domestic manufacturers and international suppliers.

    “The disruption reinforced an important principle: infrastructure resilience is ultimately about the ability of the national system to continue operating under pressure,” says Mohammed Al-Mansoori, undersecretary for infrastructure and transport affairs.

    Supply resilience

    The ministry worked with ports, customs authorities, transport and rail operators, contractors, suppliers and the private sector to maintain the flow of essential goods and construction materials. It monitored critical materials and project schedules, identified alternative sources and adjusted procurement and delivery arrangements.

    The response included movement exemptions and facilitation measures for more than 6,600 lorries, while rail freight operations increased from approximately one journey a week to as many as seven journeys a day. Priority and green corridors were activated, customs procedures facilitated and critical shipments prioritised at ports.

    According to Al-Mansoori, these measures contributed to an estimated 25% reduction in transport costs, a 40% improvement in customs clearance times and an increase of approximately 15% in port capacity during the response period.

    For infrastructure projects, the ministry worked with local manufacturers and suppliers to identify alternative sources of road and construction materials meeting the required technical specifications and quality standards. This helped reduce reliance on disrupted international supply routes and support ongoing projects.

    The experience also highlighted the value of existing coordination mechanisms and partnerships.

    “It also reinforced a fundamental principle: resilience means ensuring that critical infrastructure delivery does not depend on a single supplier, a single route or a single mode of transport,” Al-Mansoori says.

    The ministry is planning to build on this experience by diversifying suppliers, strengthening domestic manufacturing and improving supply-chain monitoring.

    Resilience is increasingly being incorporated into procurement planning. For critical materials and services, the ministry aims to identify risks early, broaden the pool of qualified suppliers and ensure viable alternatives are available.

    The approach supports the UAE’s wider industrial objectives, including the national in-country value programme, which seeks to direct a greater share of procurement expenditure into the national economy.

    “Our objective is not simply to purchase more locally. It is to help create competitive national supply chains,” Al-Mansoori says.

    Domestic suppliers must be able to meet the technical requirements, quality standards and volumes demanded by major infrastructure programmes. Localisation is therefore about developing competitive industrial capabilities while shortening supply chains, improving responsiveness and encouraging investment.

    “Localisation is not simply a procurement choice; it is an investment in national capability and long-term resilience,” Al-Mansoori says.

    The ministry is also working with contractors to manage pressures from fluctuating material, insurance and transport costs. Its approach combines commercial discipline with early engagement to prevent external pressures from affecting project delivery.

    “Our approach is based on early engagement, transparency and disciplined commercial management,” Al-Mansoori says. “Long-term infrastructure delivery depends on strong contractors as much as it depends on strong contracts.”

    Contractors remain responsible for normal market and contractual risks, but the ministry seeks to assess exceptional pressures objectively, supported by evidence of their impact on costs and schedules. Realistic planning, early procurement and proactive risk management also help maintain momentum.

    “The objective is to strike the right balance between protecting the government’s commercial interests and securing best value for money, while maintaining an efficient, sustainable contracting market capable of continuing to deliver strategic infrastructure projects,” Al-Mansoori says.

    Resilience means ensuring that critical infrastructure delivery does not depend on a single supplier, a single route or a single mode of transport

    Project delivery

    The ministry’s focus on measurable outcomes is reflected in the Emirates Road enhancement project, which involves widening approximately 25 kilometres of Emirates Road from three to five lanes in each direction, alongside major improvements to Interchange No. 7.

    The works are expected to increase road capacity by up to 65% and reduce journey times by up to 45%.

    The project illustrates the ministry’s emphasis on assessing infrastructure by the benefits it delivers, rather than simply the scale of construction.

    “Infrastructure success should be measured by the value it creates – not just by the kilometres we build,” Al-Mansoori says.

    That principle is increasingly important as the UAE balances new construction with the long-term costs of operating and maintaining its assets. Decisions made during planning and construction can influence maintenance requirements, operating costs and performance for decades.

    For Al-Mansoori, resilience, domestic capability and effective delivery are closely connected. Stronger local supply chains can reduce exposure to external shocks, while closer engagement with contractors can help projects withstand cost pressures. 


    Don’t miss MEED’s MENA Construction Summit 2026, taking place under the patronage of the UAE Ministry of Energy & Infrastructure
     Secure your place as an attendee or request the sponsorship deck by clicking here or emailing us at meedevents@meed.com


     

    https://image.digitalinsightresearch.in/uploads/NewsArticle/20810056/main.gif
    MEED Editorial
  • Riyadh tenders Expo 2030 Adaptation and Innovation Pavilion

    21 October 2026

     

    Register for MEED’s 14-day trial access 

    Expo 2030 Riyadh has tendered the design-and-build main contract for the Adaptation and Innovation Pavilion in the exhibition’s Technology District.

    The pavilion will be built on a plot of at least 12,710 square metres and will feature a two-level basement, ground-level public areas, an elevated skywalk, visitor experience areas, food and beverage outlets, retail space, VIP facilities, offices, back-of-house areas, exhibition spaces, an amphitheatre and a resonance hall.

    The facility is being designed to accommodate a minimum of 20,000 visitors a day at peak periods, with an anticipated average of about 15,000 visitors a day. The project targets LEED Gold certification.

    The tender was issued on 1 October, with bids due on 6 January 2027.

    The design-and-build contractor will be responsible for completing, reviewing, verifying, coordinating and technically integrating the design, including specialist contractor design portions and coordination with the novated lead design consultant.

    The scope includes completing early works and substructure activities, including grading, bulk earthworks, excavation, cut and fill, soil improvement, raft foundations, reinforced-concrete basement walls, basement columns through to the ground-floor slab, waterproofing, mechanical, electrical and plumbing (MEP) provisions, and backfilling.

    The contractor will also deliver the superstructure and building envelope, including structural works, facade engineering and installation, roofs, waterproofing, external finishes, and permanent facade access and maintenance systems. The internal works will cover front-of-house and back-of-house areas, public and core spaces, internal finishes, fixtures, fixed fittings, joinery, circulation areas, lobbies, stairs, toilets, storage, waste areas and associated builder’s works.

    The building services package includes MEP systems, information and communications technology, extra-low-voltage systems, building management systems, security, fire and life safety systems, specialist lighting and vertical transportation.

    The contract also covers the visitor experience package, including procurement, installation, integration, testing, commissioning and handover of visitor-facing environments, media, immersive and audiovisual technologies, interactive elements, experiential lighting, digital content, interpretive and wayfinding systems, controls and supporting infrastructure.

    Within-plot infrastructure and utilities, landscaping, public realm works, paving, planting, irrigation, signage, street furniture, drainage, stormwater systems, external lighting, security, and fire and life safety systems are also included.

    The contractor will be responsible for procurement, off-site fabrication, construction, testing and commissioning, performance verification, training, operations and maintenance documentation, operational readiness, handover, defects rectification and close-out.

    The main works tender is based on a 60% RIBA Stage 3 design, with the Stage 3 design to be completed to 100% through an addendum.

    Early works and substructure works, as well as the lead design consultant, will be novated to the contractor. Visitor experience works are included as a provisional sum.

    https://image.digitalinsightresearch.in/uploads/NewsArticle/20801465/main.jpeg
    Yasir Iqbal
  • Mubadala Bio lands Lilly logistics deal

    21 October 2026

    Mubadala Bio, the life sciences subsidiary of Abu Dhabi state investor Mubadala Investment Company, has signed an agreement with US drugmaker Eli Lilly to localise the packaging and logistics of Lilly’s glucagon-like peptide-1 (GLP-1) medicines in Abu Dhabi.

    The work will take place at a 125,000-square-metre site in Khalifa Economic Zones Abu Dhabi (Kezad), which includes packaging and warehousing facilities. Mubadala Bio said the facilities would strengthen its pharmaceutical contract manufacturing, packaging and logistics capabilities and its ability to serve international clients from the UAE.

    The packaging and logistics activities will be introduced in phases and will be subject to technical, quality and regulatory requirements. The companies did not disclose the value of the agreement or a timeline for the first phase.

    The Emirates Drug Establishment approved Lilly’s oral GLP-1 drug Foundayo (orforglipron) for chronic weight management in April. The companies said this made the UAE the second country in the world to register the medicine.

    In Abu Dhabi, the treatment is available to eligible patients under a weight management programme launched by the Abu Dhabi Department of Health and the Abu Dhabi Public Health Centre in June 2025. The UAE was also an early launch market for Lilly’s injectable treatment Mounjaro (tirzepatide) in August 2022.

    Mubadala launched Mubadala Bio in 2025 to expand domestic drug manufacturing and distribution, with a focus on national drug security. It is one of Mubadala’s designated national champions, set up to support strategic sectors. At launch, its combined facilities covered 110,000 square metres, with an annual capacity of more than 2.5 billion tablets and capsules and 120 million intravenous and injectable units.

    https://image.digitalinsightresearch.in/uploads/NewsArticle/20801279/main.jpg
    Colin Foreman
  • Chinese/local joint venture wins Qiddiya stadium facade

    21 October 2026

    Register for MEED’s 14-day trial access 

    A joint venture of China’s Fangda Group and Saudi Arabia’s IKK Group has secured a SR1.15bn ($306m) contract to deliver curtain wall facade works for the Prince Mohammed Bin Salman Stadium in Qiddiya City, Riyadh.  

    The contract was awarded by the joint venture of Spain’s FCC Construccion and local contractor Nesma & Partners, which is building the stadium under an estimated SR15bn ($4bn) main contract awarded by Qiddiya Investment Company (QIC) in October 2024.  

    The IKK-Fangda joint venture will design, supply and install curtain wall façade systems for the main stadium (Lot 1), as well as for the museum and ancillary buildings (Lot 3).

    The contract has an execution period of 863 days.  

    The stadium will seat about 47,000 spectators and will be the home ground for Saudi Pro League clubs Al-Nassr and Al-Hilal.

    The facade award follows the appointment of Elegancia Arabia, a subsidiary of Qatar-based Elegancia MEP and Estithmar Holding, to deliver the stadium’s mechanical, electrical and plumbing works.

    The SR829m ($221m) contract is Elegancia Arabia’s largest award in Saudi Arabia to date.

    The project is being designed by US-based consultant Populous.

    It is among the venues planned for the 2034 Fifa World Cup and will also host the Saudi King Cup, the AFC Asian Cup and the 2034 Asian Games.  

    https://image.digitalinsightresearch.in/uploads/NewsArticle/20799367/main.jpg
    Yasir Iqbal
  • Zamil Steel wins $82m Qiddiya tennis centre contract

    21 October 2026

    Advanced Building Industries Company (Senaat) has announced that its subsidiary, Zamil Structural Steel Company (Zamil Steel), has secured a SR308m ($82m) contract for the National Tennis Centre in Qiddiya City, Riyadh.  

    The 19-month contract was awarded by the joint venture of France’s Bouygues Batiment International and local contractor Almabani General Contractors Company.  

    Zamil Steel’s scope includes the fabrication, supply and installation of structural steel and external facades for the scheme.   

    MEED reported in June that the Bouygues Batiment International-Almabani joint venture had started construction of the National Tennis Centre.  

    The development will include 30 tennis courts, comprising 28 hard courts and two clay courts. The main Centre Court will seat 15,000 spectators and feature a retractable roof.

    The facility is being designed to meet standards set by the Association of Tennis Professionals, the Women’s Tennis Association and the International Tennis Federation.  

    The development will also include an 8,000-seat multipurpose arena with a retractable roof, known as Court 3. Other facilities include a 5,000-seat Court 1, a 2,000-seat Court 2, six competition courts, six indoor courts and 14 practice courts. Each outdoor match court will provide 450 seats.  

    Total seating capacity across the complex will be 33,000. US-based architect Populous designed the project.  

    Qiddiya Investment Company officially announced the project on 15 June. The developer has said the centre will be the region’s largest tennis complex and will host international tennis events.

    https://image.digitalinsightresearch.in/uploads/NewsArticle/20799055/main.jpg
    Yasir Iqbal