Bahrain charts pathway to net-zero future
8 November 2023
The rebranding of state oil and gas holding company Nogaholding to Bapco Energies in May was the first overhaul made by Bahrain in a long, phased campaign to achieve net-zero emissions.
As a country that produces just 200,000 barrels a day (b/d) of oil and is almost solely dependent on its neighbour Saudi Arabia for oil and gas supplies, attaining net-zero emissions might be easier and quicker for Bahrain than for its hydrocarbons-heavy Gulf peers.
Bahrain appears to be aware of this potential and has been focusing its efforts on curating a programme to become net-zero by 2060. It has brought on board advisors such as Boston Consulting Group to devise a strategy to achieve its environmental goals.
Following the launch of the new brand identity, Bapco Energies published emissions-reduction targets in July, in one of the most detailed disclosures by any state energy enterprise in the GCC.
Using 2017 as a baseline year, Bapco Energies has committed to reducing absolute Scope 3 emissions in Bahrain by 30 per cent by 2035, and to reaching net-zero Scope 3 emissions by 2060.
In addition, Bapco Energies lists its Scope 1 and 2 net emissions intensity reduction targets, also using 2017 as a baseline, as 15 per cent by 2025, 25 per cent by 2030, 30 per cent by 2035, 50 per cent by 2040 and 75 per cent by 2050, to eventually reach net zero Scope 1 and 2 emissions by 2060.
Scope 1 and 2 emissions are directly related to the core operations of an energy-producing company. In contrast, Scope 3 refers to emissions for which the company is indirectly responsible – a critical measure in the fight against climate change.
Bapco Energies has made its Scope 1, 2 and 3 emissions targets public as part of a framework it has adopted to link its environmental sustainability efforts to its financing exercises. Standard Chartered Bank will support the financing framework.
Decarbonisation action
Similar to large-scale decarbonisation project investments made by Gulf national oil companies, Bapco Energies has initiated a carbon capture and storage (CCS) project estimated to be worth about $4bn, according to its CEO Mark Thomas. The project is expected to be able to sequester 10-12 million tonnes of carbon dioxide a year for at least 50 years.
The scope of the project involves sequestering the carbon dioxide emissions in a large gas reservoir in the Bahrain field, which is also known as the Awali field. The reservoir is big enough to sequester more than 550,000 million tonnes of carbon dioxide, according to Thomas.
The CCS project is bigger than any other project of its kind that has been announced, Thomas claimed in an interview with MEED.
“The good thing is that it is all onshore. Ten to 12 million tonnes of emissions are all within a 7 kilometre radius and the field where it will be stored is 10 kilometres away,” Thomas said.
“I have the space there,” he said. “The challenge is the technology and the cost. This is a very expensive project. We are looking for economies of scale and how we might stage it in a way that makes sense.
“We completed a very early feasibility study last year, in 2022,” he continued.
“We have subsequently engaged with experts in CCS and we expect that [a second] study will be done by mid-2023,” he said, adding that front-end engineering and design work for the project is expected to start before the end of this year.
Sitra refinery upgrade megaproject
Meanwhile, a $4.2bn project by Bahrain Petroleum Company (Bapco) to upgrade the Sitra refinery in Bahrain has made slow progress. The objective of the Bapco Modernisation Programme (BMP) is to boost the processing capacity of the country’s only oil refinery from 267,000 b/d to 380,000 b/d – a strategic target for Bahrain’s long-term downstream potential.
In February 2018, Bapco awarded the $4.2bn contract to perform engineering, procurement and construction (EPC) works to upgrade the Sitra refinery to a consortium led by France’s Technip Energies that includes Spain’s Tecnicas Reunidas and South Korea’s Samsung Engineering.
The project was originally expected to reach mechanical completion in 2023, with operations set to begin in 2024. MEED understands that Bapco will likely miss this commissioning schedule, however.
According to the latest update on EPC progress on the BMP, all of the catalysts required to start operating the newly-installed units have been delivered to the site, although the catalysts still need to be fully loaded into the units.
Upstream objectives
Despite its low oil production capacity, Bahrain is a key member of the Opec+ coalition of oil producers.
Bapco Upstream, the wholly-owned subsidiary of Bapco Energies, is striving to maintain, or even increase, its oil and gas production levels through capital expenditure on key projects.
Bapco Upstream, previously known as Tatweer Petroleum, is the sole operator of the onshore Bahrain field – the first oil field discovered in the Gulf region in 1932. The company produces an average of 42,400 b/d of crude oil and 1.67 billion cubic feet a day of non-associated gas from the Bahrain field.
This represents less than a quarter of the country’s oil output capacity, but is important to Manama as it is the only indigenous oil-producing asset and is key to meeting domestic oil demand.
Bapco Upstream also shares the offshore Abu Safah field, located in the Gulf waters between Bahrain and Saudi Arabia, with Saudi Aramco. Abu Safah contributes about 145,000 b/d to Bahrain’s oil production.
At present, the firm is pushing ahead with a phased field development project to install non-associated gas compressor facilities and remote gas dehydration units to maintain gas deliverability from the Bahrain field. Bapco Upstream is understood to be close to awarding a contract for EPC work on non-associated gas compressor facilities and associated works as part of this project.
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PIF strategy
In his speech at the PSF, Yasir Al-Rumayyan, governor of the PIF, also alluded to changing priorities and said that this is a pivotal moment for Saudi Arabia’s economy.
Launched in 2016, Saudi Arabia’s Vision 2030 is described as “a transformative and ambitious blueprint to unlock the potential of its people and create a diversified, innovative and world-leading nation”.
The agency charged with delivering many of the objectives outlined in the strategy is the PIF. Established in 1971, it was moved from the Finance Ministry in 2015 to the Council of Economic & Development Affairs, where it was given a more active mandate. It then grew from a staff of about 50 in 2015 to almost 3,000 in 2024, according to the most recently published annual report.Over the past 10 years, the PIF has helped drive the development of key sectors with direct capital spending on projects. The Red Sea Project and the Qiddiya entertainment city development aim to position the kingdom as a leisure tourism destination, while Roshn’s portfolio of residential communities has helped transform the housing market.
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“Today, in line with the objectives of the third phase of Saudi Vision 2030 and the PIF’s strategy for the coming five years, we are moving from building sectors to integrating ecosystems, and from launching opportunities to accelerating growth – through an open invitation to the private sector to invest and partner in shaping a diversified and resilient economy,” he said.
Having raised the bar, PIF officials say that sectors such as tourism and real estate are now ready for the private sector to take over. They describe sectors reaching what they call ‘escape velocity’, which is the point where a sufficient level of maturity has been reached for the private sector to come in and take the lead.
[In 2026, the PIF is] moving from building sectors to integrating ecosystems, and from launching opportunities to accelerating growth
Financial considerations
The decision to pass the baton to the private sector comes at a time when Saudi Arabia’s ability to finance all its project commitments directly has been questioned amid lower-than-desired oil prices.
Reflecting the constrained backdrop, the Ministry of Finance’s final budget statement for 2026 projects a deficit of SR165bn ($44bn), equivalent to about 3.3% of GDP.
The private sector has a tough act to follow. While the PIF has embarked on some of the world’s most ambitious projects in recent years, it has also introduced international standards that it hopes will lead to ways of doing business in Saudi Arabia that are more in tune with international best practices.
“The fund will continue to enable ecosystems and lay the foundations for growth. At the same time, the next phase requires a higher level of readiness and ambition from the private sector, alongside the ability to scale and innovate – a phase in which the role of the private sector evolves from execution to contributing to economic building and value creation,” Al-Rumayyan said.
Whether the private sector is ready to take over is the critical question in 2026.
According to PIF subsidiary development companies (devcos) that engage with private sector investors, the tide is turning. They say that five years ago, the appetite to invest was limited and devcos had to step in and deliver a greater proportion of project masterplans. As these investors complete their first projects, however, confidence is building.
Deals signed
This growing appetite could be seen at the PSF, where agreements were signed by private sector investors and devcos.
Rua Al-Madinah, which is responsible for Medina’s tourism and cultural development, signed a memorandum of understanding (MoU) with Indonesian sovereign wealth fund, Danantara Indonesia. It covers identifying and assessing investment opportunities in the Rua Al-Madinah and Dar Al-Hijrah projects.
King Salman International Airport Development Company signed several MoUs with local firms to develop mixed-use projects within its airport masterplan. The agreements were signed with Sumou Holding, Mohammed Al-Habib Investment, Kinan, Ajdan, Retal, Urjuan and Osus and comprise residential, commercial, retail, hospitality, entertainment and other related projects.
Roshn Group also signed an agreement with Kuwait’s Agility Logistics Parks to establish a joint venture that will develop a Grade A logistics hub.
In mid-February, two further deals were signed. PIF-backed Smart Accommodation for Residential Complexes Company (Sarcc) signed an agreement with Dammam-based Tamimi Global Company to develop a 4,000-bed worker accommodation project in North Riyadh. The development is expected to cost over SR1.5bn ($400m).
Sarcc also signed a separate agreement with Riyadh-based Mawref Company to develop another North Riyadh worker accommodation project. This deal involves building a 12,000-bed facility with a development cost of over SR669m ($178m).
The first phases of both projects are expected to be completed in 2029.
While momentum continues to build and deals are signed, some private sector players remain to be convinced. In the kingdom’s real estate sector, for example, recent amendments to legislation, which include a white land tax and a rent freeze, have created a level of uncertainty that some potential investors say makes it difficult to sign off on investment commitments.
Much will depend on the success of the deals already signed. If these agreements result in positive outcomes, then the fear of missing out will kick in and other private sector players will be keen to invest.
The risk is that, should deals turn sour and fail to produce the expected results, then attracting future investments from the private sector will be challenging.
Main image: Yasir Al-Rumayyan, governor of the PIF, inaugurates the PSF 2026. Credit: Saudi Press Agency
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