UAE banks enjoy the good times
13 October 2023
MEED's November 2023 special report on the UAE also includes:
> UAE construction sector returns to form
> Hail and Ghasha galvanises UAE upstream market
> UAE closes ranks ahead of Cop28
> UAE ramps up decarbonisation of water sector
> UAE aviation returns to growth
Talk to any Gulf banking analyst and the message is unanimous: UAE banks are doing very well, and there are few clouds dampening the outlook heading into 2024.
Nearly all UAE banks have reported strong growth in operating profit on the back of higher interest rates, wider margins, good loan growth and higher fees and commissions.
“Good GDP growth and improved business confidence have also contributed to an overall sense of wellbeing,” says Karti Inamdar, senior credit analyst at CI Ratings.
Fat profits reflect the robust environment for UAE banks. The big four UAE lenders – First Abu Dhabi Bank (Fab), Emirates NBD, Abu Dhabi Commercial Bank and Dubai Islamic Bank, which account for more than three-quarters of system assets – reported a combined net profit of $7.4bn in the first six months of 2023, up from $4.4bn for the same period of 2022.
“Bottom line profit is growing significantly for the four largest UAE banks, and that is a reflection of operating income growth, driven both by interest and non-interest income,” says Francesca Paolino, lead analyst at Moody’s Investors Service.
“That, in turn, has resulted from greater consumer confidence as macroeconomic conditions in the UAE remain strong.”
Region-beating returns
UAE banks topped the GCC region in the second quarter of this year in terms of return on equity, at 15.9 per cent – against a GCC-wide trend of 13 per cent. Net interest margins (NIMs) in the quarter were 3.44 per cent, compared with 2.44 per cent in the year-earlier period.
“Higher interest rates have helped banks in NIM expansion, as more than 60 per cent of banking sector deposits are still low or non-interest bearing,” says Puneet Tuli, financial institutions rating analyst at S&P Global Ratings.
Meanwhile, the cost of risk is reducing thanks to the more benign economic environment and stronger non-oil activity, which has also led to higher lending growth compared with S&P’s original expectations.
According to Fitch Ratings, UAE banks have been well-positioned for higher interest rates and, since 2021, their earning assets yields have risen more than their funding costs due to a still-high share of cheap current and savings accounts (Casa), and a large percentage of floating lending on their loan books.
Higher interest rates and increased business volumes drove net interest income up 37 per cent in the first half of 2023, Moody’s Investors Service notes in relation to the four largest lenders. Again, interest income growth outweighed funding cost growth, as low-cost Casa accounts remained a big contributor to the banks’ funding.
The higher operating income reflects a combination of interest and non-interest income, supported by greater consumer confidence. Strong activity in non-oil sectors in the UAE, such as trade, tourism and real estate, is a pointer to this effect.
“A driver for UAE banks’ increased non-interest income is their foreign exchange and derivative income. They are also reporting higher fee-generating activity from both retail and investment banking,” says Paolino.
As of June 2023, non-interest income constitutes around one-third of the total operating income at the larger UAE banks. This reflects the large banks seeking to diversify their revenue streams while growing locally and internationally.
Robust fundamentals
Liquidity and capital positions are unsurprisingly robust, providing a layer of insulation should conditions for UAE lenders deteriorate.
The big four UAE banks maintained strong capital buffers with a tangible common equity ratio of 15.1 per cent in aggregate as of June 2023. Strong earnings contributed to higher core capital buffers, more than offsetting risk-weighted assets growth.
UAE lenders’ liquidity has been strong for several years now, given that deposit growth in the country is dependent on energy prices, which have been favourable.
“In the UAE, deposits are not difficult to find, especially if you are willing to pay a price, so it’s the cost of deposits that needs to be managed,” says Inamdar.
“There’s usually plenty of funding available in the financial system when oil prices are high.”
The main issue on the funding side is high customer concentration levels – a side-effect of the UAE’s large number of high-net-worth individuals and wealthy institutions.
Asset quality has nonetheless improved in the UAE. New non-performing loan (NPL) classifications have declined and loan recoveries have been good, partly due to the improvement in the real estate sector, says Inamdar.
According to Moody’s, the overall NPL ratio declined to about 5 per cent as of the first half of 2023, from 5.4 per cent a year earlier, reflecting the recovering operating environment in the country. Yet this ratio is still one of the highest in the GCC.
“On the one side, you can expect some solid operating conditions to provide some improvements to NPL ratios,” says Paolino.
“But on the other side, UAE banks remain exposed to the real estate sector and also to single borrower concentrations, as well as to large loan restructurings.”
While continued high interest could stoke future asset quality problems, local banks have built up provisions with a coverage ratio in excess of 100 per cent.
Technological dividends
Looking ahead, UAE banks will focus on their digital proposition, meaning investment in innovation and technology will likely continue and operating costs remain high.
Banks in the UAE are already benefitting from years of significant investment in technology.
“We have seen a reduction of banks' physical footprint, with one of the banks reducing its network from 50 branches to just five without any significant impact on activity,” says Tuli.
“Banks did not experience any major cyber risk issues as well. All this is helping their overall profitability.”
In terms of future growth, some cross-border forays can be expected.
For example, Fab and Emirates NBD have strong regional ambitions that could help grow their individual balance sheets. Their diversified business base – in terms of geography, products and customer segments – renders them less vulnerable to a downturn in any of the markets they operate in.
There are few downside risks facing UAE banks, barring an unexpected drop in oil prices or – notes S&P’s Tuli – a significantly higher-than-expected migration of deposits from non-interest-bearing instruments to remunerated instruments that will reduce the benefits of higher interest rates.
That should leave analysts continuing to tell a positive story about the country’s banking prospects.
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UAE and Turkiye ties deepen
4 July 2025
Commentary
Colin Foreman
EditorRead the July issue of MEED Business Review
The growing trade volumes between the UAE and Turkiye involve a mix of competition and collaboration across various sectors.
One area of competition is aviation. Turkish Airlines has emerged as a major global player over the past 20 years, with its network now covering more countries than any other airline.
Turkiye’s aviation sector entered a new era in 2019 when Istanbul Grand airport opened. The first phase has the capacity to handle 90 million passengers a year, and the plan is for the capacity to reach 200 million once later phases are completed.
The airport’s globally strategic location combined with its large and expandable capacity will give Turkiye’s aviation
sector an edge over its competitors in the Gulf over the next decade as construction starts on major airports, including Dubai and Riyadh.While competition is evident, Turkish Airlines insists there is enough room for it and the Gulf airlines to grow as the centre of gravity for global aviation shifts from west to east.
On a macro level, the UAE and Turkiye are complementary economies
Beyond aviation, the trade relationship encompasses a wide range of sectors, including defence, logistics and construction. Over the past two years, Turkish contractors have secured significant contracts in the UAE. Turkish construction companies are now exporting the experience they have gained on projects in Turkiye to the UAE, as major government- backed infrastructure projects that include airports and railways move into tendering.
At the same time, UAE investments in Turkiye’s energy and financial sectors are growing, with notable examples including Emirates NBD’s investment in DenizBank and International Holding Company’s investment in Kalyon Energy.
These investments show that on a macro level, the UAE and Turkiye are complementary economies, with each holding a different mix of resources, capital and expertise. The strategic location of both countries amplifies the business case for trade even further.
READ THE JULY 2025 MEED BUSINESS REVIEW – click here to view PDF
UAE and Turkiye expand business links; Renewed hope lies on the horizon for trouble-beset Levant region; Gulf real estate momentum continues even as concerns emerge
Distributed to senior decision-makers in the region and around the world, the July 2025 edition of MEED Business Review includes:
> AGENDA: UAE-Turkiye trade gains momentum> INTERVIEW 1: Building on UAE-Turkiye trade> INTERVIEW 2: Turkiye's Kalyon goes global> INTERVIEW 3: Strengthening UAE-Turkiye financial links> INTERVIEW 4: Turkish Airlines plans further growth> CURRENT AFFAIRS: Middle East tensions could reduce gas investments> GCC REAL ESTATE: Gulf real estate faces a more nuanced reality> PROJECTS MARKET: GCC projects market collapses> INTERVIEW 5: Hassan Allam eyes role in Saudi Arabia’s transformation> INTERVIEW 6: Aseer region seeks new investments for Saudi Arabia> LEADERSHIP: Nuclear power makes a global comeback> LEVANT MARKET FOCUS: Levant states wrestle regional pressures> GULF PROJECTS INDEX: Gulf projects index continues climb> CONTRACT AWARDS: Mena contract award activity remains subdued> ECONOMIC DATA: Data drives regional projects> OPINION: A farcical tragedy that no one can endTo see previous issues of MEED Business Review, please click herehttps://image.digitalinsightresearch.in/uploads/NewsArticle/14201376/main.gif -
Building on UAE-Turkiye trade
4 July 2025
This package on UAE-Turkiye relations also includes:
> UAE-Turkiye trade gains momentum
> Turkiye’s Kalyon goes global
> UAE-Turkiye financial links strengthen
> Turkish Airlines plans further growth
The UAE-Turkiye Comprehensive Economic Partnership Agreement (Cepa) that came into effect in September 2023 has already exceeded expectations.
Non-oil trade between the UAE and Turkiye grew by 11.5% in 2024, reaching a total of $40.5bn. This milestone surpasses a target of the Cepa three years earlier than planned. As a result, Turkiye is now the UAE’s fourth-largest non-oil trading partner, rising from seventh place in 2021.
Trade between the UAE and Turkiye is growing strongly, with both countries increasingly viewed as strategic hubs for accessing broader markets.
The growth story builds on already established business links between the two countries.
“UAE-based companies and funds are already very active in Turkiye,” says Burak Daglioglu, president of the investment and finance office of the Presidency of the Republic of Turkiye.
“Firms like DP World and others in private equity and venture capital are playing a key role.”
Strengthening ties
Since the Cepa was signed in 2023, bilateral investment has accelerated, with Turkish companies also expanding into the UAE.
“That’s the mark of a healthy relationship,” he says. “When it’s balanced and bilateral, it’s more sustainable.”
He adds that companies in both countries see the other not just as a market, but as a hub. “UAE firms use Turkiye to access Europe and Central Asia; Turkish firms use the UAE to reach Asia and Africa. This creates a complementary strategy for both sides.”
In the energy sector, the focus is on renewables, with UAE firms eyeing major solar and wind projects in Turkiye. “We have huge potential in renewables, and there are ongoing talks with UAE investors,” says Daglioglu.
In technology, Turkiye is emerging as a regional player in artificial intelligence (AI), financial technology (fintech), and healthcare technology.
“Our infrastructure is increasingly AI-ready,” he says. “We have data centres, renewable power sources and connectivity.
“We also have a robust startup ecosystem, with early-stage funding rising from under $100m a decade ago to over $1bn today.”
Defence is another key area of cooperation. “There are some ongoing projects in the defence sector between Turkiye and the UAE,” Daglioglu says. “It’s better not to name names at this stage, but it’s a promising area.”
Venture capital (VC) is also playing an important role in promoting regional innovation. “Ten years ago, the startup scene was nascent. Now, it’s a cornerstone of our investment strategy. Dubai, as a regional VC hub, has been instrumental.”
To support this growth, Turkiye has developed local VC legislation and attracted international funds, including those from Saudi Arabia, UAE family offices and corporate investors. A joint UAE-Turkiye technology fund worth $300m is also nearing finalisation.
“It’s not just about exits anymore. Turkish startups are scaling regionally and globally, with Dubai often serving as their capital and client gateway.”
Turkiye is also a major industrial hub and, with a population of 85 million, has extensive human resources. “We have the talent, the infrastructure and the resilience,” he says.
“From automotive and mobility to chemicals and energy storage, we are expanding our industrial base.”
We have huge potential in renewables, and there are ongoing talks with UAE investors
Looking ahead
Turkiye’s trade with the UAE and the rest of the GCC could be enhanced even further with the Development Road project, which is a 1,200-kilometre highway and railway linking Iraq’s southern Faw Port to Europe through Turkiye.
“The Development Road will not happen overnight – it’s a long-term, complex undertaking,” Daglioglu says. “But its impact will be global. Reducing shipping lead times between Asia and Europe by up to a week is hugely significant in today’s fast-moving markets.”
Designed to connect the Gulf to Europe through Turkiye, the Development Road includes a high-speed rail network for both cargo and passengers, as well as a parallel motorway.
For Daglioglu, the Development Road corridor offers Turkiye, the UAE and the GCC states another platform for economic diversification.
“This is more than a transport project, it’s a regional realignment,” he says.
“It will unlock a flow of goods, people, capital and data. Fibre infrastructure can run alongside the rail and motorway, creating a dual-purpose corridor that will support our AI and digital economy ambitions.”
Historically, Turkiye has been well integrated with northern markets in Europe. Due to years of conflict in Iraq and Syria, however, its southern connectivity has lagged.
The Development Road, along with recent discussions to reopen direct links with Syria, offers opportunities for southern expansion.
“We have invested heavily in northern logistics. Now, it’s time to strengthen our southern corridor,” Daglioglu says. “The Development Road could finally make direct access to the GCC markets a reality.”
The corridor could also open up new avenues for digital infrastructure, such as subsea cables and terrestrial fibre,
further linking the region’s digital economies.“This could be the basis for a digital Silk Road, supporting everything from AI to fintech.”
https://image.digitalinsightresearch.in/uploads/NewsArticle/14201047/main.gif -
Firms submit Diriyahâs Radisson Red superblock prequalifications
4 July 2025
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Saudi gigaproject developer Diriyah Company has received prequalification statements from firms interested in constructing the upcoming Radisson Red superblock in the second phase of the Diriyah Gate development (DG2).
The prequalification notice was issued on 11 June, and submissions were made on 22 June.
The Radisson Red superblock consists of a hotel, residential apartments, retail facilities, commercial office spaces and a park.
The project is situated in the Boulevard East district, between King Khalid Road and the Grand Boulevard in Diriyah.
The project is the latest in a series of other superblocks that are expected to be floated to the market this year, including the Waldorf Astoria superblock, Edition superblock and Pendry superblock.
Diriyah tendered a contract in April to build the new iconic museum in the DG2 area.
The same month, MEED exclusively reported that the client had awarded an estimated SR4bn ($1.1bn) contract for a utilities relocation package for the King Saud University (KSU) project located in DG2.
The contract was awarded to the joint venture of Beijing-headquartered China Railway Construction Corporation and China Railway Construction Group Central Plain Construction Company.
Also in April, MEED reported that the company had awarded an estimated SR5bn ($1.3bn) construction deal to build the Royal Diriyah Opera House.
The contract was awarded to a joint venture of local firm El-Seif Engineering & Contracting, Beijing-headquartered China State Construction Engineering Corporation and Qatari firm Midmac Contracting.
Tendering activity is also progressing on several other major schemes at Diriyah, including the King Khalid Road project, which passes through the development. The client received bids from firms in the second week of April for the main construction works on this project.
The client is also expected to finalise the contract award shortly for the Arena Block assets in the Boulevard Southwest section in the DG2 area.
Diriyah gigaproject
The Diriyah masterplan envisages the city as a cultural and lifestyle tourism destination. Located northwest of Riyadh’s city centre, it will cover 14 square kilometres and combine 300 years of history, culture and heritage with hospitality facilities.
The company awarded several significant contracts last year, including three contracts worth over SR21bn ($5.5bn). These included an estimated $2bn contract awarded to a joint venture of El-Seif Engineering & Contracting and China State to build the North Cultural District.
In July last year, Diriyah also awarded a $2.1bn package to a joint venture of local contractor Albawani and Qatar’s Urbacon to construct assets in the Wadi Safar district of the gigaproject.
Then in December, Diriyah Company awarded an estimated SR5.8bn ($1.5bn) contract to local firm Nesma & Partners for its Jabal Al-Qurain Avenue cultural district, located in the northern district of the Diriyah Gate project.
Once complete, Diriyah will have the capacity to accommodate 100,000 residents and visitors.
READ THE JULY 2025 MEED BUSINESS REVIEW – click here to view PDF
UAE and Turkiye expand business links; Renewed hope lies on the horizon for trouble-beset Levant region; Gulf real estate momentum continues even as concerns emerge
Distributed to senior decision-makers in the region and around the world, the July 2025 edition of MEED Business Review includes:
> AGENDA: UAE-Turkiye trade gains momentum> INTERVIEW 1: Building on UAE-Turkiye trade> INTERVIEW 2: Turkiye’s Kalyon goes global> INTERVIEW 3: Strengthening UAE-Turkiye financial links> INTERVIEW 4: Turkish Airlines plans further growth> CURRENT AFFAIRS: Middle East tensions could reduce gas investments> GCC REAL ESTATE: Gulf real estate faces a more nuanced reality> PROJECTS MARKET: GCC projects market collapses> INTERVIEW 5: Hassan Allam eyes role in Saudi Arabia’s transformation> INTERVIEW 6: Aseer region seeks new investments for Saudi Arabia> LEADERSHIP: Nuclear power makes a global comeback> LEVANT MARKET FOCUS: Levant states wrestle regional pressures> GULF PROJECTS INDEX: Gulf projects index continues climb> CONTRACT AWARDS: Mena contract award activity remains subdued> ECONOMIC DATA: Data drives regional projects> OPINION: A farcical tragedy that no one can endTo see previous issues of MEED Business Review, please click herehttps://image.digitalinsightresearch.in/uploads/NewsArticle/14200629/main.jpg -
Court rules against Petrofac restructuring plans
4 July 2025
An appeals court in the UK has upheld an appeal against Petrofac’s restructuring plans, increasing uncertainty about the UK-based engineering company’s future.
The appeal was brought by Italy’s Saipem and South Korea’s Samsung E&A.
The ruling against the restructuring plans comes less than two months after Petrofac received formal approval from the High Court of England & Wales to implement its restructuring plan.
Petrofac previously said that its restructuring plan would unlock $355m in new funding for its operations.
Petrofac said on 1 July that the appeal was upheld “on narrow grounds associated with the terms of the 'new money' financing and the evidence provided in support of it”, that had previously been accepted by the High Court.
The company said that all other grounds of appeal were unsuccessful.
It added that it was “carefully studying” the detailed judgment and would discuss with key stakeholders its implications and potential routes forward.
The company’s shares were suspended from trading on the UK stock exchange at the end of April due to Petrofac’s failure to publish its 2024 financial results on time.
Wood Group, another UK-based engineering company that is active in the Middle East and North Africa region, also saw its shares suspended on the same day, for the same reason.
In January this year, Petrofac announced that it had reached a binding agreement with its creditors.
Petrofac has been struggling with financial problems since its share price collapsed in December 2023.
READ THE JULY 2025 MEED BUSINESS REVIEW – click here to view PDF
UAE and Turkiye expand business links; Renewed hope lies on the horizon for trouble-beset Levant region; Gulf real estate momentum continues even as concerns emerge
Distributed to senior decision-makers in the region and around the world, the July 2025 edition of MEED Business Review includes:
> AGENDA: UAE-Turkiye trade gains momentum> INTERVIEW 1: Building on UAE-Turkiye trade> INTERVIEW 2: Turkiye's Kalyon goes global> INTERVIEW 3: Strengthening UAE-Turkiye financial links> INTERVIEW 4: Turkish Airlines plans further growth> CURRENT AFFAIRS: Middle East tensions could reduce gas investments> GCC REAL ESTATE: Gulf real estate faces a more nuanced reality> PROJECTS MARKET: GCC projects market collapses> INTERVIEW 5: Hassan Allam eyes role in Saudi Arabia’s transformation> INTERVIEW 6: Aseer region seeks new investments for Saudi Arabia> LEADERSHIP: Nuclear power makes a global comeback> LEVANT MARKET FOCUS: Levant states wrestle regional pressures> GULF PROJECTS INDEX: Gulf projects index continues climb> CONTRACT AWARDS: Mena contract award activity remains subdued> ECONOMIC DATA: Data drives regional projects> OPINION: A farcical tragedy that no one can endTo see previous issues of MEED Business Review, please click herehttps://image.digitalinsightresearch.in/uploads/NewsArticle/14200679/main.jpg -
King Salman airport sets July deadline for fourth runway bids
4 July 2025
King Salman International Airport Development Company (KSIADC) has allowed firms until 8 July to bid for the design-and-build of the fourth runway at King Salman International airport (KSIA) in Riyadh.
The tender was floated on 17 April. The previous bid submission deadline was 17 June.
It is understood that the third and fourth runways will add to the two existing runways at Riyadh’s King Khalid International airport, which will eventually become part of KSIA.
KSIADC, which is backed by Saudi Arabia’s Public Investment Fund, prequalified firms in September last year for the main engineering, procurement and construction packages; early and enabling works; specialist systems and integration; specialist systems, materials and equipment; engineering and design; professional services; health, safety, security, environment and wellbeing services; modular installation and prefabrication; local content; and environmental, social and governance and other services.
The entire scheme is divided into eight assets. These are:
- Iconic Terminal
- Terminal 6
- Private aviation terminal
- Central runway and temporary apron
- Hangars
- Landside transport
- Cargo buildings
- Real estate
In August last year, KSIADC confirmed it had signed up several architectural and design firms for the various elements of the project.
UK-based Foster+Partners will design the airport’s masterplan, including the terminals, six runways and a multi-asset real estate area.
US-based engineering firm Jacobs will provide specialist consultancy services for the masterplan and the design of the new runways.
UK-based engineering firm Mace was appointed as the project’s delivery partner, and local firm Nera was awarded the airspace design consultancy contract.
Project scale
The project covers an area of about 57 square kilometres (sq km), allowing for six parallel runways, and will include the existing terminals at King Khalid International airport. It will also include 12 sq km of airport support facilities, residential and recreational facilities, retail outlets and other logistics real estate.
If the project is completed on time in 2030, it will become the world’s largest operating airport in terms of passenger capacity, according to UK analytics firm GlobalData.
The airport aims to accommodate up to 120 million passengers by 2030 and 185 million by 2050. The goal for cargo is to process 3.5 million tonnes a year by 2050.
Saudi Arabia plans to invest $100bn in its aviation sector. Riyadh’s Saudi Aviation Strategy, announced by the General Authority of Civil Aviation (Gaca), aims to triple Saudi Arabia’s annual passenger traffic to 330 million travellers by 2030.
It also aims to increase air cargo traffic to 4.5 million tonnes and raise the country’s total air connections to more than 250 destinations.
READ THE JULY 2025 MEED BUSINESS REVIEW – click here to view PDF
UAE and Turkiye expand business links; Renewed hope lies on the horizon for trouble-beset Levant region; Gulf real estate momentum continues even as concerns emerge
Distributed to senior decision-makers in the region and around the world, the July 2025 edition of MEED Business Review includes:
> AGENDA: UAE-Turkiye trade gains momentum> INTERVIEW 1: Building on UAE-Turkiye trade> INTERVIEW 2: Turkiye's Kalyon goes global> INTERVIEW 3: Strengthening UAE-Turkiye financial links> INTERVIEW 4: Turkish Airlines plans further growth> CURRENT AFFAIRS: Middle East tensions could reduce gas investments> GCC REAL ESTATE: Gulf real estate faces a more nuanced reality> PROJECTS MARKET: GCC projects market collapses> INTERVIEW 5: Hassan Allam eyes role in Saudi Arabia’s transformation> INTERVIEW 6: Aseer region seeks new investments for Saudi Arabia> LEADERSHIP: Nuclear power makes a global comeback> LEVANT MARKET FOCUS: Levant states wrestle regional pressures> GULF PROJECTS INDEX: Gulf projects index continues climb> CONTRACT AWARDS: Mena contract award activity remains subdued> ECONOMIC DATA: Data drives regional projects> OPINION: A farcical tragedy that no one can endTo see previous issues of MEED Business Review, please click herehttps://image.digitalinsightresearch.in/uploads/NewsArticle/14200608/main.jpg