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Warming erodes Kuwait’s power and water reserves

14 August 2023

More on Kuwait’s power and water sector: 

> IWPP: Firms respond to Kuwait independent utilities request
> POWER: Local firm wins 250MW Subiya package
> PRIVATISATION: Kuwait thermal plant privatisation to go ahead

 

The temperature in Kuwait soared to 51 degrees Celsius on 1 August, sending its electricity load index up to 16,940MW. This breached its maximum expected load this year of 16,830MW by 0.7 per cent.

This year’s projected maximum load is already 4 per cent higher than the previous year's recorded maximum load. It leaves only roughly 8 per cent of reserve capacity against an available capacity understood to stand at 18,250MW.

Similarly, water consumption across the Gulf state on 2 August, when the temperature decreased to 50 degrees, exceeded production by 29 million gallons, prompting the state utility to access its strategic water reserve capacity to plug the shortfall.

The electricity consumption spike reportedly caused two feeders at the country’s main substation south of Surra in the capital to trip, which led to power outages in some parts of Zahra, a district in Kuwait’s Hawalli governorate.

Kuwait’s Electricity & Renewable Energy Ministry (MEWRE) assured the public that the maximum capacity available in the country’s electricity network during the current summer is 18,250MW, as earlier cited, and that it could safely provide up to 17,660MW.

Persistent delays

The following week MEWRE – through the Kuwait Authority for Partnership Projects (Kapp) – received prequalification applications for the contracts to develop Kuwait’s next two independent water and power producer (IWPP) projects.

The two schemes – Al-Zour North 2 & 3 and Al-Khiran 1 – will have a total combined power generation capacity of 4,500MW and a water desalination capacity of over 150 million imperial gallons a day (MIGD), which will go a long way to address Kuwait’s precarious electricity and water supply situation.

Ironically, these two schemes have been in the planning and early procurement stages since 2017 and have suffered significant delays in the intervening period.

It is the second time developers have submitted statements of qualification (SOQs) for the contracts over the preceding 11 months.

The delays have caused major frustration for some developers and contractors. One utility developer that submitted an SOQ in September last year told MEED they did not participate in the latest attempt to start the prequalification process for the IWPP schemes, without elaborating.

Others expect the country’s stakeholders to eventually approve and expedite the procurement process for the integrated power and desalination facilities.

“I’m not very optimistic, but we submitted an SOQ anyway,” another source tells MEED.

EPC projects motoring ahead

The ministry’s conventional power plant projects have been moving at a relatively faster pace. In June this year, the local company Heavy Engineering Industries & Shipbuilding (Heisco) won a contract for the phase 2 upgrade of the Subiya power plant complex in Kuwait.

Heisco saw off competition from two local companies, Alghanim International and Al-Zain United General Trading & Contracting, for the KD114.28m ($372m) contract.

The project aims to convert an existing 250MW simple-cycle plant into a combined-cycle gas-turbine plant.

In April, a consortium comprising Heisco and Japan’s Mitsubishi Power was also awarded a contract to retrofit the main thermal power generation plant at the power complex.

The contract is understood to be valued at KD90.9m. It entails the upgrade of eight steam turbines and electric generators at the Subiya power plant, which is expected to reach a capacity of 2,400MW once the project is complete.

The existing plant at the Subiya power complex was commissioned between 1998 and 2002. This implies that the steam turbines and generators in commercial operation for nearly 20 years require upgrades to continue operating and improve their performance.

Two steps forward

While the country has pledged to become carbon neutral by 2060, the state utility has yet to make any remarkable progress in procuring new renewable energy capacity.

The recent political deadlock has hampered the procurement of the next phases of the Shagaya Renewable Energy Programme (SREP), despite the award 12 months previously of the project’s transaction advisory contract to a team led by London-headquartered consultancy firm EY.

At the time, the advisory contract was understood to cover the Al-Dibdibah solar project, which will comprise SREP’s second phase, and a third phase expected to include a 720MW solar photovoltaic (PV) plant, a 1,150MW concentrated solar power (CSP) facility and a wind power farm.

Notably, two state-backed downstream operators – Kuwait National Petroleum Company and Kuwait Integrated Petroleum Industries Company (Kipic) – have launched a tender for a contract to undertake a pre-feasibility study identifying opportunities to use renewable energy in their operations.

Kuwait is also expected to make some progress on its first utility privatisation scheme, which forms part of the initiative to strengthen private sector participation in the sector.

In December last year, it was revealed that UK-headquartered Deloitte had submitted a low bid of KD1.2m ($3.9m) for the transaction advisory contract in line with the planned privatisation of the $1.26bn North Shuaiba power and water plant in Kuwait.

GCC grid

While working to boost its electricity reserves and make its electricity systems greener, Kuwait stands to benefit from the ongoing upgrade of the GCC electricity grid, through which other GCC states, such as the UAE, may decide to transmit excess clean energy.

The Al-Fadhili high-voltage direct current (HVDC) converter station upgrade in Saudi Arabia is expected to enable the exchange of 1,800MW of electricity between the six states once complete.

In October last year, the GCC Interconnection Authority (GCCIA) awarded India-based KEC International a contract for an overhead transmission line project linking the substations in Wafra in Kuwait and Fadhili in Saudi Arabia.

The estimated $120m project extends an existing double-circuit 400kV line from Al-Zour in Kuwait to Ghunan in Saudi Arabia. The line has an intermediate interconnection at Fadhili, with associated substations completed in 2009 as part of the first phase of the GCCIA network. The new project is expected to complete in 2025.

This month’s special report on Kuwait also includes: 

> ECONOMY: Stakeholders hope Kuwait can execute spending plans
> ENERGY: Kuwait’s $300bn energy target is a big test
> BANKING: Kuwaiti banks enter bounce-back mode
> INTERVIEW: Kuwait’s Gulf Centre United sets course for expansion

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Jennifer Aguinaldo

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    In March 2025, the same Sepco 3 and Doosan Enerbility consortium signed an engineering, procurement and construction contract with Saudi Electricity Company for the expansion of the Riyadh Power Plant 12 (PP12).

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  • Financial challenge tests Iraq’s resolve

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    On 21 April, as a fragile ceasefire held between the US and Iran, the Trump administration halted a $500m shipment in cash headed for Iraq, as it sought to clamp down on Iranian-backed Shia militias in the country. 

    That cash, derived from Iraqi oil exports and routed via the US Federal Reserve to the Central Bank of Iraq (CBI), is a vital cog in Iraq’s financial arteries, enabling it to cover foreign exchange demand.

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    Dollar pressure

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    “The gap between the parallel exchange rate has widened noticeably against the official peg, to around 20%,” she says.

    “Dollar demand has risen as citizens and traders seek to hedge uncertainty – dollar deposits are up, and there are reports of a notable shift in the composition of cash holdings toward dollars.”

    Ratings agencies see the US move on Iraqi dollar use as a challenge, but one that might not prove too onerous.

    “Iraq can overcome a short-term war as it has $100bn of reserves and its debt profile is bearable,” says Gilbert Hobeika, a director at Fitch Ratings.

    “But a longer-term conflict will hurt Iraq as the economy is reliant on oil revenues and government involvement, while facing at the same time risk from the US stopping delivery of US dollars.”

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    “Forming a new government that is palatable to the US could ease the pressure, though Iraq’s protracted government formation process adds uncertainty to that timeline,” says Bonilla.

    The US-Iran war is putting even more pressure on banks.

    “There are uncertainties with regard to depositors,” says Hobeika. “The public sector banks have weak management and governance structures. Financial reporting is weak, and that puts pressure on asset quality and capitalisation.”

    If the conflict lasts a long time, the government will start withdrawing funds to pay salaries and contractors.

    “That will affect deposits at the public sector banks in the near term,” says Hobeika.

    State-heavy system

    Iraq’s banking system is dominated by a handful of state-owned banks with a market share of 75%-80%, and then 60-plus private banks competing for the remaining 20%-25% of the pie. 

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    “In 2019, we had a wave of Islamic banks getting bans on dealing with US dollars – reducing what had been a primary source of business.”

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    “Supported by their affiliates, these banks are relatively well run compared to domestic peers and have ample capital buffers,” says Hanna.

    “They have captured a large market share of US dollar transfers thanks to their strong US correspondent banking relationships that allow them easier access to US dollars. They have seen a surge in their profitability and an increase in their deposit base.”

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    “For now, the reforms address the plumbing. The structural transformation of a banking system to serve the private sector is still largely ahead.”

    Clouded outlook

    So far, Iraq’s financial system seems to have averted a worst-case scenario of large-scale deposit withdrawals related to the Iran conflict.

    Any deposit withdrawals seem to be more related to the introduction of a digital custom system ASYCUDA (Automated System for Customs Data) aimed at helping the government collect revenues, which saw a lot of traders trying to bypass the custom charges.

    “This drove some exporters or traders to source US dollars outside the banking system, in the parallel market, to avoid stricter requirements and up-front payment of customs duties. That has now eased,” says Hanna.

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    > OIL & GAS: Iraqi oil and gas sector in crisis
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    > CONSTRUCTION: Momentum builds in Iraq’s post-war construction sector

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    > Be recognised among the best in the industry at the MEED Projects Awards 2026 …

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  • Iraq LNG project delayed until next year

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    Iraq’s first liquefied natural gas (LNG) import terminal, which has an estimated project value of $450m, is now expected to become operational in 2027 due to delays caused by the regional war and disruption to shipping through the Strait of Hormuz.

    Work on jetty reinforcement and fixed terminal infrastructure at the Port of Khor Al-Zubair has been delayed, according to a statement from US-based Excelerate Energy, which is contracted to develop the facility.

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    Iraq’s reliance on flaring associated gas instead of gathering and processing it has prevented the country from fully realising its potential as a gas producer and forced the Iraqi government to rely on costly gas and electricity imports from Iran.

    READ THE MAY 2026 MEED BUSINESS REVIEW – click here to view PDF

    Global energy sector forced to recalibrate; Conflict hits debt issuance and listings activity; UAE’s non-oil sector faces unclear recovery period amid disruption.

    Distributed to senior decision-makers in the region and around the world, the May 2026 edition of MEED Business Review includes:
    To see previous issues of MEED Business Review, please click here
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    Wil Crisp