Riyadh confirms capital expenditure cuts
7 May 2025
Saudi Arabia has reported a 19% drop in government capital expenditure (capex) during the first quarter of this year compared to the same period last year. Capex spending in Q1 2025 was SR27.8bn ($7.4bn), down from SR34.5bn in Q1 2024.
The Ministry of Finance reported the drop in expenditure in its Quarterly Budget Performance Report for Q1 2025.
The government’s reduction in capex occurred at the same time as a drop in contract awards. According to regional projects tracker MEED Projects, there was a significant reduction in contract awards during Q1 2025.
There were $16.9bn of contract awards in the kingdom during Q1 2025, which includes private and public sector clients – including the Public Investment Fund (PIF) and its subsidiary development companies, as well as public-private partnership (PPP) projects.
The number of contract awards has also declined. According to MEED Projects, there were 108 contract awards during Q1 2025, which is down from 191 during Q1 2024 and 186 in Q4 2024.
Big deals
The largest project deal during Q1 2025 was the $2.2bn PPP deal awarded by Saudi Water Partnership Company (SWPC) to develop and operate the kingdom’s second independent water transmission pipeline (IWTP). The project involves building a 587-kilometre pipeline that can transmit 650,000 cubic metres a day of water between Jubail in the Eastern Province and Buraydah in the Qassim region. A developer team comprising local companies Aljomaih Energy & Water, Nesma Company and Buhur for Investment Company was selected for the project.
Only two other contract awards were valued at over $1bn. Saudi Aramco awarded Larsen & Toubro Energy Hydrocarbon, a subsidiary of India’s Larsen & Toubro Group, a $1.5bn contract to build a large-scale carbon capture and storage hub in Jubail Industrial City.
Gigaproject developer Diriyah Company awarded the other $1bn-plus deal. It awarded a joint venture of local firm El-Seif Engineering & Contracting, Beijing-headquartered China State Construction Engineering Corporation and Qatari firm Midmac Contracting a $1.3bn contract to build the Royal Diriyah Opera House.
The total value of contract awards in Q1 2025 was down by almost half compared to the $33.5bn of contract awards made during Q1 2024. On a quarterly basis, the drop is more than 60% compared to the $42.7bn of contract awards made during Q4 2024.
Budget deficit
For the broader economy, Saudi Arabia ran a deficit of SR58.7bn during Q1 2025, which was fully financed through borrowing, as there were no withdrawals from government reserves.
Public debt increased in both domestic and external components. Domestic debt closed at SR797bn, and external debt closed at SR531.7bn, indicating active debt management strategies to finance the deficit.
Most recently, the National Debt Management Centre announced the closure of its April 2025 issuance under the government’s Saudi riyal-denominated sukuk programme, with a total allocation amounting to SR3.710bn.
The sukuk issuance was structured into four distinct tranches to cater to varying investor needs. The first tranche, valued at SR1.315bn, is set to mature in 2029. The second tranche, amounting to SR80m, will mature in 2032. The third tranche, with a size of SR765m, is scheduled for maturity in 2036, while the fourth tranche, the largest at SR1.55bn, will mature in 2039.
In Q1 2025, total revenues reached SR263.6bn, with oil revenues accounting for SR149.8bn. This signifies a notable 18% decrease in oil revenues compared to the same period in 2024.
Also, oil income in the first quarter of this year accounted for 56% of total government revenues, down from 62% in the same period last year.
The slide in oil revenues is mainly due to lower crude oil prices, with the first quarter average for global benchmark Brent declining by 15% to around $75 a barrel compared to the same period in 2024.
Oil production
Oil production cuts by the Opec+ alliance also led to a fall in oil revenues for Saudi Arabia. The kingdom’s crude output declined by 1% in the first quarter to 8.95 million barrels a day (b/d), according to Opec data.
Saudi Arabia and Russia-led Opec+, however, began unwinding 2.2 million b/d of oil production cuts from April, with the coalition recently announcing a further output hike of 411,000 b/d in June. This move could result in an increased oil market share for Saudi Arabia, bringing in more oil revenues for the kingdom in the second quarter.
Non-oil revenues increased by 2%, reaching SR113.8bn, indicating some success in diversification efforts. Taxes on goods and services and other revenues contributed to this rise.
Total expenditures stood at SR322.3bn, which was a 5% increase on Q1 2024. Although capex decreased, other areas of spending increased.
Social spending
Notably, social benefits saw a significant 28% increase, reflecting the government’s commitment to social welfare programmes. Compensation of employees and use of goods and services also experienced increases.
For sectors, health and social development saw a 19% increase in actual expenditure compared to Q1 2024. This indicates a strong focus on these areas. Public administration also experienced a notable 14% increase.
Sectors such as municipal services and economic resources recorded slight decreases in spending.
The Finance Ministry report also provides insights into the government’s reserves and current account balances, with closing balances of SR393bn and SR91bn, respectively.
MEED’s April 2025 report on Saudi Arabia includes:
> GOVERNMENT: Riyadh takes the diplomatic initiative
> ECONOMY: Saudi Arabia’s non-oil economy forges onward
> BANKING: Saudi banks work to keep pace with credit expansion
> UPSTREAM: Saudi oil and gas spending to surpass 2024 level
> DOWNSTREAM: Aramco’s recalibrated chemical goals reflect realism
> POWER: Saudi power sector enters busiest year
> WATER: Saudi water contracts set another annual record
> CONSTRUCTION: Reprioritisation underpins Saudi construction
> TRANSPORT: Riyadh pushes ahead with infrastructure development
> DATABANK: Saudi Arabia’s growth trend heads up
Exclusive from Meed
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Regional chemicals spending set to soar
29 August 2025
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Kuwait’s political hiatus brings opportunity
29 August 2025
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GlobalData forecasts Egypt construction growth
29 August 2025
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UAE firm begins Yemen 120MW solar expansion
29 August 2025
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Feed progresses on Libya oil field project
29 August 2025
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Related Articles
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Regional chemicals spending set to soar
29 August 2025
With the energy transition gaining momentum and demand for transport fuels plateauing, it is no longer lucrative for state-owned hydrocarbons producers in the Middle East and North Africa (Mena) region to channel significant amounts of their crude oil towards refineries.
This does not mean that regional energy producers have curtailed their spending on refinery expansions or greenfield projects, however. A total of $21.62bn was spent on Mena downstream oil projects in 2024, with capital expenditure (capex) at nearly $7bn so far this year, according to data from regional projects tracker MEED Projects.
Mena energy producers have also ramped up their investment in expanding gas processing potential, as global demand for natural gas – especially from the power generation sector – rises exponentially.
The region invested a total of $25.67bn in gas processing projects in 2024, and in 2025, MEED Projects puts that figure at $9.3bn year-to-date.
Meanwhile, the surge in petrochemicals projects in the Mena region over the years has also been significant.
The drive among regional players to increase petrochemicals output capacity is being facilitated by a rapid rise in chemicals demand from various industries and supply chains, as well as by the fact that converting oil and gas molecules into high-value chemicals is economically rewarding for hydrocarbons producers.
Preparing for growth
Global petrochemicals capacity is poised to grow significantly by 2030. Asia is set to dominate this, driven by a high demand for petrochemicals in the automotive, construction and electronics industries, according to UK analytics firm GlobalData.
The Middle East is also set to undergo an increase in production capacity, with a total capacity of 122.1 million tonnes a year (t/y) projected in 2025-30. Capex on production plants is expected to reach $69bn in the coming years, according to a recent report by GlobalData.
Steady spending
An estimated $17.8bn was spent on engineering, procurement and construction (EPC) contracts for chemicals projects in 2024, with spending year-to-date of about $5.8bn, MEED Projects says.
The region’s biggest chemicals project under EPC execution is the $11bn Amiral project in Saudi Arabia, which represents the expansion of Saudi Aramco Total Refining & Petrochemical Company (Satorp) in the petrochemicals sector.
Satorp, in which Saudi Aramco and France’s TotalEnergies hold 62.5% and 37.5% stakes, respectively, operates a
refinery complex in Jubail that has the capacity to process 465,000 barrels a day (b/d) of Aramco’s Arabian Heavy crude oil grade to produce refined products such as diesel, jet fuel, gasoline, liquefied petroleum gas, benzene, paraxylene, propylene, coke and sulphur.Integrated with the existing Satorp refinery in Jubail, the Amiral complex will house one of the largest mixed-load steam crackers in the Gulf, with the capacity to produce 1.65 million tonnes a year (t/y) of ethylene and other industrial gases.
This expansion is expected to attract more than $4bn in additional investment in several industrial sectors, including carbon fibres, lubricants, drilling fluids, detergents, food additives, automotive parts and tyres.
Another large-scale project under execution is the Al-Faw integrated refinery and petrochemicals project in Iraq. State-owned Southern Refineries Company brought on board China National Chemical Engineering Company in May 2024 to develop the estimated $8bn project.
The Al-Faw project is being implemented in two stages. The first phase involves developing a refinery will have a capacity of 300,000 b/d and will produce oil derivatives for both domestic and international markets. The second phase relates to the construction of a petrochemicals complex with a capacity of 3 million t/y.
EPC works are also progressing on the $6bn Ras Laffan petrochemicals complex in Qatar, which will have an ethane cracker that will be the largest in the Middle East and one of the largest in the world.
The project is being developed by a joint venture (JV) of QatarEnergy and US-based Chevron Phillips Chemical (CPChem). QatarEnergy owns a majority 70% stake in the JV. CPChem, which is 50:50 owned by US firms Chevron and Phillips 66, holds the remaining 30%.
The Ras Laffan petrochemicals complex is expected to begin production in 2026. It consists of an ethane cracker with a capacity of 2.1 million t/y of ethylene. This will raise Qatar’s ethylene production potential by nearly 70%.
The complex includes two polyethylene trains with a combined output of 1.68 million t/y of high-density polyethylene polymer products, raising Qatar’s overall petrochemicals production capacity by 82%, to almost 14 million t/y.
A JV of South Korean contractor Samsung Engineering and CTCI of Taiwan was awarded the EPC contract for the ethylene plant, which is understood to be valued at $3.5bn. The EPC contract for the polyethylene plant was awarded to Italian contractor Maire Tecnimont, which announced that the value of its contract was $1.3bn.
Chemicals uptick
While the downstream hydrocarbons sector in the Mena region has so far seen significant capex allocated to refinery modification and expansion projects, and robust spending on gas processing projects, chemicals schemes are set to dominate spending going forward.
Data from MEED Projects suggests that the value of planned chemicals projects in the Mena region is four times greater than the combined value of downstream oil and gas projects.
Saudi Arabia’s liquids-to-chemicals programme, which aims to attain a conversion rate of 4 million b/d of Saudi Aramco’s crude oil production into high-value chemicals, accounts for the majority of planned chemicals projects in the region.
Aramco has divided its liquids-to-chemicals programme in Saudi Arabia into four main projects. It has made progress this year by signing JV investment agreements with international partners for these projects:
- Conversion of the Saudi Aramco Jubail Refinery Company (Sasref) complex in Jubail into an integrated refinery and petrochemicals complex through the addition of a mixed-feed cracker. The project also involves building an ethane cracker that will draw feedstock from the Sasref refinery. Front-end engineering and design on the project is under way and is being performed by Samsung E&A.
- Conversion of the Yanbu Aramco Sinopec Refining Company (Yasref) complex in Yanbu into an integrated refinery and petrochemicals complex through the addition of a mixed-feed cracker. China’s Sinopec is a JV partner in the project.
- Conversion of the Saudi Aramco Mobil Refinery Company (Samref) complex in Yanbu into an integrated refinery and petrochemicals complex through the addition of a mixed-feed cracker. US oil and gas producer ExxonMobil has signed a memorandum of understanding with Aramco to potentially invest in the project.
- Building a crude oil-to-chemicals complex in Ras Al-Khair in the kingdom’s Eastern Province. Progress on this project remains slow.
Separately, Aramco subsidiary Saudi Basic Industries Corporation (Sabic) is in advanced negotiations with bidders for a project that involves building an integrated blue ammonia and urea manufacturing complex at the existing facility of its affiliate, Sabic Agri-Nutrients Company, in Jubail.
The $2bn-$3bn project, which is known as the low-carbon hydrogen San VI complex, is part of Sabic’s Horizon 1 low-carbon hydrogen programme that will be developed at Sabic Agri-Nutrients’ facility in Jubail Industrial City.
The planned San VI complex will have an output capacity of 1.2 million metric t/y of blue ammonia and 1.1 million metric t/y of urea and specialised agri-nutrients.
https://image.digitalinsightresearch.in/uploads/NewsArticle/14568180/main.gif - Conversion of the Saudi Aramco Jubail Refinery Company (Sasref) complex in Jubail into an integrated refinery and petrochemicals complex through the addition of a mixed-feed cracker. The project also involves building an ethane cracker that will draw feedstock from the Sasref refinery. Front-end engineering and design on the project is under way and is being performed by Samsung E&A.
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Kuwait’s political hiatus brings opportunity
29 August 2025
Commentary
John Bambridge
Analysis editorAfter Kuwaiti Emir Sheikh Mishal Al-Ahmad Al-Jaber Al-Sabah took the unusual step of suspending Kuwait’s parliament in May 2024, the country anticipated a rush of reforms and the unblocking of the project pipeline.
In March 2025, the government delivered on the most significant part of that, passing the long-awaited new public debt law, allowing $65bn in sovereign and Islamic bonds to be issued over the next 50 years. In June, Kuwait began moving ahead with plans to issue bonds worth an estimated KD2bn ($6.6bn) to cover its projected financing needs for the 2025-26 fiscal year.
With the ability to now take on debt as needed, the country’s budget can be decoupled to a degree from the volatility of global oil market cycles. Also significant is the reported consideration of the setup of a KD50bn ($163bn) domestic investment fund that could become a transformative engine for Kuwait’s future.
March also heralded a new mortgage law that has ended prior restrictions, bringing property loans more in line with international norms in a way that will open up new avenues of growth for the banking and real estate sectors.
In the projects market, however, while the value of planned projects has swollen, actual contract awards increased only modestly in 2024 and are on track for a similar performance in 2025. The more optimistic industry analysts have chalked this up as a temporary situation that will be corrected when the projects now in pre-execution push through to the execution phase. More cynical observers have suggested, however, that there may be more wrong with Kuwait’s project sector than just budgeting.
The Al-Zour North independent power and water plant phase 2 & 3 is a case in point, having travelled through several planning iterations from the point of its launch in 2006 up until its final award in August. This comes despite Kuwait’s rapid approach to the limits of its own power generation capacity – limits it then exceeded in April 2025, when soaring temperatures caused demand for electricity to outstrip supply, bringing power cuts.
Despite all this, the award of the long-awaited Al-Zour North scheme is a hopeful sign that Kuwait is on the move once again – as it will need to be. With an enfeebled private sector, atrophied contracting industry and mounting public wage bill, the policy needs of the day are great in Kuwait.
While the emir’s consolidation of power has given the government a rare opportunity to act decisively – with the political hiatus already delivering key outcomes that years of parliamentary debate could not – the real test will be whether a credible economic transformation can be set in motion while Kuwait still has the time to act.
MEED’s September 2025 report on Kuwait includes:
> GOVERNMENT: Kuwait looks to capitalise on consolidation of power
> ECONOMY: Kuwait aims for investment to revive economy
> BANKING: Change is coming for Kuwait’s banks
> OIL & GAS: Kuwaiti oil activity rising after parliament suspension
> POWER & WATER: Signs of project progress for Kuwait's power and water sector
> CONSTRUCTION: Momentum builds in Kuwait construction
> DATABANK: Kuwait’s growth picture improvesTo see previous issues of MEED Business Review, please click herehttps://image.digitalinsightresearch.in/uploads/NewsArticle/14523293/main.gif -
GlobalData forecasts Egypt construction growth
29 August 2025
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Egypt’s construction industry is poised for significant growth, with GlobalData projecting a real-term increase of 4.7% in 2025.
This growth is expected to be fuelled by a surge in net foreign direct investment (FDI) and substantial government spending on renewable energy and industrial construction projects. According to the Central Bank of Egypt, net FDI rose by 9.3% year-on-year in the first half of the 2024/25 financial year, increasing from E£278.6bn ($5.5bn) in July-December 2023 to E£304.5bn during the same period in 2024.
The influx of foreign capital is anticipated to strengthen the construction sector, which is further supported by the government’s 2025/26 budget, approved in June 2025. The budget allocates total expenditure of E£4.6tn, marking an 18% increase over the previous fiscal year. Key allocations include E£100bn for the electricity and renewable energy sector, E£77bn for water and wastewater projects, and E£5.2bn for railways.
Looking ahead, the construction industry’s output is projected to grow at an average annual rate of 7.4% between 2026 and 2029. This growth will be driven by investments in housing, renewable energy and transport infrastructure, alongside the government’s target of developing 10GW of renewable energy capacity by 2028.
Sector-specific forecasts point to a promising outlook across various construction segments.
The commercial construction sector is expected to grow by 6% in 2025 and at an average annual rate of 6.6% between 2026 and 2029, supported by a rebound in tourism and hospitality.
The industrial construction sector is anticipated to expand by 12.2% in 2025, with robust average annual growth of 9.1% through 2029, driven by investments in manufacturing and rising external demand.
Infrastructure construction is projected to grow by 3.6% in 2025 and at an average annual rate of 6.9% from 2026 to 2029, underpinned by investment in roads, rail and ports – including the construction of 1,160 bridges by 2030.
The energy and utilities construction sector is expected to grow by 3.7% in 2025, with an average annual rate of 7.8% between 2026 and 2029, driven by investments in renewable energy and water infrastructure.
Institutional construction is forecast to grow by 4.2% in 2025 and at an average annual rate of 6.6% from 2026 to 2029, supported by public investment in education and healthcare.
Finally, the residential construction sector is projected to grow by 4.7% in 2025, with an average annual growth rate of 7.7% from 2026 to 2029, addressing the country’s growing housing deficit.
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UAE firm begins Yemen 120MW solar expansion
29 August 2025
Yemen’s Aden solar photovoltaic (PV) plant will double its capacity to 240MW following the groundbreaking of its second phase – a 120MW expansion developed by UAE-based Global South Utilities (GSU), in partnership with Yemen’s Ministry of Electricity & Energy.
Located in Bir Ahmed, the plant began operations last year with a capacity of 120MW in its first phase.
GSU said the project will reduce Yemen’s reliance on imported fuel and improve air quality, with the expansion set to include more than 194,000 solar panels.
Phase 2 is expected to begin commercial operations in 2026.
Once operational, it will generate around 247,462 megawatt-hours annually, enough to supply electricity to 687,000 households and cut an estimated 142,345 tonnes of carbon dioxide each year.
Combined with phase 1, the facility will reduce almost 285,000 tonnes of carbon emissions annually. This is equivalent to removing more than 85,000 cars from the road.
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Feed progresses on Libya oil field project
29 August 2025
US oilfield services provider Haliburton is continuing to work on the front-end engineering and design (feed) for Libya-based Waha Oil Company’s project to rehabilitate the country’s Al-Dhara oil field, according to sources.
The project is estimated to be worth $1bn, and is expected to considerably increase oil production from the field.
The Al-Dhara field is currently producing 24,000 barrels a day (b/d) of oil, sources said.
One source said: “Locally run projects have managed to increase production from zero to 24,000 b/d and that’s a massive achievement – but the project that Haliburton is working on is likely to be much more significant.”
Sources expect that the Haliburton project could boost the production of the Al-Dhara field and neighbouring PL6 field to 130,000 b/d.
The engineering, procurement and construction (EPC) scope of work on the project is understood to include:
- Drilling of wells
- Construction of platforms
- Laying of pipelines
- Construction of a condensate refinery
- Installation of storage tanks
- Installation of early production facilities
- Installation of gas treatment units
- Construction of a degassing station
- Construction of other associated facilities
The Al-Dhara field is generating revenues of around $450m a month, sources said, and this money has been earmarked to fund the rehabilitation of the field and phased work to increase production.
The oil field in central Libya has suffered from years of poor maintenance and was sabotaged by Islamic State militants in 2015.
Waha Oil Company announced in August 2022 that it had restarted test operations at the Al-Dhara oil field after a seven-year hiatus.
Waha Oil Company is a joint venture of Libya’s National Oil Corporation, US-based ConocoPhillips and France’s TotalEnergies.
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